{"id":103834,"date":"2025-07-23T05:00:57","date_gmt":"2025-07-23T12:00:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/blog\/?p=103834"},"modified":"2025-07-22T16:08:22","modified_gmt":"2025-07-22T23:08:22","slug":"homes-selling-at-a-loss-austin-tx","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/blog\/homes-selling-at-a-loss-austin-tx\/","title":{"rendered":"In Austin, 14% of Home Listings Are At Risk of Selling At a Loss"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As Austin\u2019s housing market freezes, sellers are facing a new reality: less money for their homes<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In Austin, 14% of all listings are at risk of selling for less than homeowners bought them for. This is double the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/san-francisco-home-sellers-lose-gain-money\/\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> share last year and the second highest among the top 50 metros. Nationally, 6% of sellers are at risk of losing money on a sale.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, the share varies widely depending on when someone bought their home,<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">with those buying more recently tending to be more at risk.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>48% of sellers who bought post-pandemic<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> are at risk of losing money on the sale \u2013 by far the highest share in the nation. The nationwide share is 16%.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>32% of sellers who bought during the pandemic<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> are at risk of losing money on the sale. Nationally, this share is 9%.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>0.5% of sellers who bought pre-pandemic<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> are at risk of losing money on the sale, well below the 2% in danger across the country.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Austin\u2019s housing market <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/sellers-vs-buyers-price-impact\/\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">skews heavily<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in favor of buyers, as prices fall and inventory rises. The metro\u2019s dramatic pandemic-era price swings means sellers who bought at the peak face the greatest risk of losing money on the sale \u2013 home values surged from 2020-2022, but have dropped sharply in the years that followed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That\u2019s not to say Austin home sellers will actually come out behind. Typically, sellers facing a financial loss will wait until they find a buyer willing to pay the asking price, take their home off the market, or rent it out. Plus, the vast majority of sellers still make money on their home sale: Nationwide, 94% of homes sell for more than they were purchased for, compared to just 37% in 2012.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">How has Austin\u2019s housing market changed since the pandemic?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Austin is the poster child of pandemic boomtowns: It was one of the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/q4-2020-housing-migration-trends\/\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">hottest<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> cities in the nation from 2020-2022, luring people with its hip culture, affordable prices, and low tax rates. By April 2022, this popularity had propped up prices by 71%.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But later that year, prices had <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/home-price-growth-cooling-fast-austin-boise\/\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">already started<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> dropping \u2013 and they haven\u2019t stopped falling since. Priced-out residents and the rise of AI in coastal tech hubs <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/austins-reign-as-a-tech-hub-might-be-coming-to-an-end-02836bc3?gaa_at=eafs&amp;gaa_n=ASWzDAiIdiupMA1JRD2S3LaFBMGRW_X4hDlMGHjr-rpEu55J5QCvA2AontNs_2uMweo%3D&amp;gaa_ts=6878030c&amp;gaa_sig=FQF4gIiiEuYh9wDcW6iMZrOpVRxctGqZOQcoYj4noABS29GUm_llfpor3RqwFrKypFMdn3FcThTzP4rfdwZv2g%3D%3D\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">prompted<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> companies and workers <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/austinmonitor.com\/stories\/2024\/03\/for-the-first-time-in-20-years-more-people-are-leaving-travis-county-than-moving-in\/\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">to leave<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> the trendy Texas metro and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/homes-sold-above-list-price-2025\/\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">return<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to the coasts.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Today, the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/city\/30818\/TX\/Austin\/housing-market\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Austin housing market<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> is experiencing one of the largest price corrections in the nation, exacerbated by <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/future\/article\/20230630-will-texas-become-too-hot-for-humans\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">climate risks<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and insurance <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.texastribune.org\/2025\/05\/09\/texas-legislature-homeowners-insurance\/\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">price hikes<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. This means that homeowners who bought at the peak are at the highest risk of selling at a loss.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Falling prices would create a larger gap<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If prices fall in line with <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/home-price-forecast-decline-2025\/\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Redfin forecasts<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> by the end of the year, more sellers would be susceptible to losing money on their home. Even the least-affected metros \u2013 New Brunswick, NJ, and Providence, RI \u2013 would see notable increases.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><b>If prices drop by the predicted 1%<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, 15% of Austin listings would be at risk.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><b>If prices drop by 3%<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, 17% would be at risk.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><b>If prices drop 5%<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, 19% would be at risk.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Those who bought prior to the pandemic face the lowest risks of selling at a loss, but they\u2019re also <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/07\/16\/lock-in-effect-keeps-homeowners-from-selling-despite-lower-rates.html\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">less likely<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to move in the first place thanks to their <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/mortgage-rate-lock-in-effect-eases\/\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">lower mortgage rates<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">How buyers and sellers can navigate the Austin market<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Austin\u2019s housing market has shifted significantly since the pandemic, creating more opportunities for buyers and more pressure for sellers.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Buyers: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With elevated housing costs and more homes on the market, buyers in the market are generally in command in Austin. They should come prepared to negotiate and move quickly when the right home comes along.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Sellers<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">: Sellers generally don\u2019t have the negotiating power they had during the pandemic, so they may need to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/home-seller-concessions-march-2025\/\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">offer incentives<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to attract what buyers remain.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Complete metro-level data<\/span><\/h2>\n<div id=\"datawrapper-vis-6JSuf\" style=\"min-height: 2822px;\"><script type=\"text\/javascript\" defer src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/6JSuf\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\" data-target=\"#datawrapper-vis-6JSuf\"><\/script><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/6JSuf\/full.png\" alt=\"\" \/><\/noscript><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Methodology<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Based on a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/selling-at-a-loss-2025\/\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Redfin report<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, which analyzed active listings on the MLS in May for the 50 largest U.S. metros. All housing data is from Redfin.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The report identifies the share of sellers <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">at risk<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> of selling at a loss, not the share of sellers who will <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">actually<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> sell their home at a loss, and does not take closing costs into account. We defined the pandemic as July 2020-July 2022, when home prices rose the most. Please see the original report\u2019s methodology for complete details.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Austin homeowners are increasingly likely to sell at a loss, as the market stalls and buyers back off. Here\u2019s what buyers and sellers need to know. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":559,"featured_media":89168,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[34279],"tags":[34457,34622,34420],"coauthors":[34342],"class_list":["post-103834","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-selling-a-home","tag-austin","tag-home-selling-tips","tag-tx"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.7 (Yoast SEO v27.9) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>14% of Listings Could Sell At a Loss in Austin | Redfin<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Austin homeowners are increasingly likely to sell at a loss, as the market stalls and buyers back off. 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