{"id":103839,"date":"2025-07-23T05:00:16","date_gmt":"2025-07-23T12:00:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/blog\/?p=103839"},"modified":"2025-07-22T17:45:48","modified_gmt":"2025-07-23T00:45:48","slug":"homes-selling-at-a-loss-houston-tx","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/blog\/homes-selling-at-a-loss-houston-tx\/","title":{"rendered":"In Houston, 7% of Home Listings Are At Risk of Selling At a Loss"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Houston\u2019s housing market is cooling, and sellers are facing a new reality: less money for their homes<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In Houston, 7% of all listings are at risk of selling for less than homeowners bought them for. This is nearly double the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/san-francisco-home-sellers-lose-gain-money\/\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> share last year and the fifth highest among the top 50 metros. Nationally, 6% of sellers are at risk of losing money on a sale.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, the share varies widely depending on when someone bought their home,<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">with those buying more recently tending to be more at risk.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>20% of sellers who bought post-pandemic<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> are at risk of losing money on the sale \u2013 the fourth-highest share in the nation. The nationwide share is 16%.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>10% of sellers who bought during the pandemic<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> are at risk of losing money on the sale. Nationally, this share is 9%.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>2% of sellers who bought pre-pandemic<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> are at risk of losing money on the sale, in line with national trends.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Although Houston is a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/sellers-vs-buyers-price-impact\/\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">more balanced<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> market than cities like Austin \u2013 which is seeing a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/austin-housing-market-trouble-2062510\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">sharp decline<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in demand \u2013 sellers still outnumber buyers, pushing prices down. Sun Belt metros generally have the largest shares of listings at risk of selling at a loss because of the pandemic price seesaw, leaving sellers who bought at the peak in the lurch.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That\u2019s not to say Houston home sellers will actually come out behind. Typically, sellers facing a financial loss will wait until they find a buyer willing to pay the asking price, take their home off the market, or rent it out. Plus, the vast majority of sellers still make money on their home sale: Nationwide, 94% of homes sell for more than they were purchased for, compared to just 37% in 2012.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">How has Houston\u2019s housing market changed since the pandemic?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/city\/8903\/TX\/Houston\/housing-market\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Houston housing market<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> was red hot during the pandemic. Homebuyers rushed to take advantage of historically low mortgage rates, snapping up available homes and draining the city\u2019s supply. As a result, prices soared: From 2020 to 2022, the median sale price climbed 40% to a record $351,000. This is still relatively low nationally, but for San Antonio, it marked a major shift.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Today, in part because prices rose so steeply, the market has cooled \u2013 albeit slowly. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.houstonpublicmedia.org\/articles\/housing\/2025\/05\/15\/521425\/houston-real-estate-market-favors-buyers-amid-increase-in-months-of-inventory\/\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fewer homes<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> are selling, causing inventory to rise, as buyers are waiting on the sidelines. Climate risks and rising insurance costs have also added pressure. This means that recent homeowners have lost some of the value they gained, putting them at risk of selling for less than they bought for.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Falling prices would create a larger gap<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If prices fall in line with <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/home-price-forecast-decline-2025\/\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Redfin forecasts<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> by the end of the year, more sellers would be susceptible to losing money on their home. Even the least-affected metros \u2013 New Brunswick, NJ, and Providence, RI \u2013 would see notable increases.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><b>If prices drop by the predicted 1%<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, 8% of Houston listings would be at risk.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><b>If prices drop by 3%<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, 11% would be at risk.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><b>If prices drop 5%<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, 14% would be at risk.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Those who bought prior to the pandemic face the lowest risks of selling at a loss, but they\u2019re also <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/07\/16\/lock-in-effect-keeps-homeowners-from-selling-despite-lower-rates.html\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">less likely<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to move in the first place thanks to their <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/mortgage-rate-lock-in-effect-eases\/\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">lower mortgage rates<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">How buyers and sellers can navigate the Houston market<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">San Antonio\u2019s housing market has shifted significantly since the pandemic, creating more opportunities for buyers and more pressure for sellers.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Buyers: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With elevated housing costs and more homes on the market, buyers in the market are generally in command in Houston. They should come prepared to negotiate and move quickly when the right home comes along.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Sellers<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">: Sellers generally don\u2019t have the negotiating power they had during the pandemic, so they may need to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/home-seller-concessions-march-2025\/\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">offer incentives<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to attract braving today\u2019s market.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Complete metro-level data<\/span><\/h2>\n<div id=\"datawrapper-vis-6JSuf\" style=\"min-height: 2822px;\"><script type=\"text\/javascript\" defer src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/6JSuf\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\" data-target=\"#datawrapper-vis-6JSuf\"><\/script><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/6JSuf\/full.png\" alt=\"\" \/><\/noscript><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Methodology<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Based on a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/selling-at-a-loss-2025\/\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Redfin report<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, which analyzed active listings on the MLS in May for the 50 largest U.S. metros. All housing data is from Redfin.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The report identifies the share of sellers <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">at risk<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> of selling at a loss, not the share of sellers who will <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">actually<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> sell their home at a loss, and does not take closing costs into account. We defined the pandemic as July 2020-July 2022, when home prices rose the most. Please see the original report\u2019s methodology for complete details.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Houston homeowners are increasingly likely to sell at a loss, as the market cools and buyers back off. Here\u2019s what buyers and sellers need to know.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":559,"featured_media":89239,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[34279],"tags":[34622,34438,34420],"coauthors":[34342],"class_list":["post-103839","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-selling-a-home","tag-home-selling-tips","tag-houston","tag-tx"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.7 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>7% of Listings Could Sell At a Loss in Houston | Redfin<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Houston homeowners are increasingly likely to sell at a loss, as the market cools and buyers back off. 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