Rental Market Tracker: Rents Rise 14% in December—Biggest Jump in Over Two Years

Rental Market Tracker: Rents Rise 14% in December—Biggest Jump in Over Two Years

by and
Updated on May 26th, 2022

The biggest increase was in Austin, where rents surged 40% from a year earlier.

Average monthly listed rents in the U.S. increased 14.1% year over year to $1,877 in December, the largest annual jump since at least February 2019—the earliest month in Redfin’s rental data. Meanwhile, the national monthly mortgage payment for homebuyers climbed 21.6% year over year, also the biggest increase in Redfin’s records. “The growth in mortgage payments has been driven by both climbing prices and climbing mortgage rates,” said Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather. “And those rising mortgage costs push more potential homebuyers into renting instead, which pushes up demand and prices for rentals. Mortgage rate increases are accelerating, which will cause both mortgage payments and rent to grow throughout 2022.”
Rental Market Summary December 2021 Month-Over-Month Year-Over-Year
Average Monthly Rent $1,877 0.3% 14.1%
Median Monthly Mortgage Payment for Homebuyers w/ 5% down payment $1,553 0.3% 21.6%
Year–over-year rent-price increases outpaced year-over-year mortgage payment increases for new homebuyers in just 16 of the 50 largest U.S. metro areas in December.

Rents are Up Over 30% In Many Major Metro Areas

The 10 metro areas with the biggest increases in rent prices—up 29% year over year or more—were almost exclusively on the East Coast. The only exceptions were Austin, TX and Portland, OR.

Top 10 Metro Areas With Fastest-Rising Rents Year Over Year

  1. Austin, TX (40%)
  2. Nassau County, NY (35%)
  3. New York, NY (35%)
  4. Newark, NJ (35%)
  5. New Brunswick, NJ (35%)
  6. Miami, FL (34%)
  7. West Palm Beach, FL (34%)
  8. Fort Lauderdale, FL (34%)
  9. Jacksonville, FL (31%)
  10. Portland, OR (29%)

Only Kansas City saw rent decline year over year

  1. Kansas City, MO (-0.8%)
Just one metro area saw rents fall in December from the same month a year earlier. Rents declined 0.8% in Kansas City, MO.

Year-Over-Year Change in Rents and Median Monthly Mortgage Payments for Homebuyers, December 2021

RegionAverage RentYear-Over-Year Change in Average RentMonthly Mortgage (5% down)Year-Over-Year Change in Monthly Mortgage (5% down)Difference Between Year-Over-Year Change in 5% Down Mortgage Payment & Rent
Anaheim, CA$3,3949.6%$3,81324.0%14 pts
Atlanta, GA$2,01612.1%$1,42029.6%18 pts
Austin, TX$2,29039.9%$1,95637.5%-2 pts
Baltimore, MD$2,01810.7%$1,31811.0%0 pts
Boston, MA$3,63722.3%$2,51118.8%-3 pts
Charlotte, NC$1,73011.5%$1,44827.1%16 pts
Chicago, IL$2,3519.0%$1,16814.3%5 pts
Cincinnati, OH$1,47324.2%$95715.1%-9 pts
Cleveland, OH$1,37811.6%$7309.8%-2 pts
Columbus, OH$1,4587.5%$1,09516.3%9 pts
Dallas, TX$2,08128.5%$1,56227.0%-1 pts
Denver, CO$2,66119.0%$2,19126.1%7 pts
Detroit, MI$1,55211.4%$71019.1%8 pts
Fort Lauderdale, FL$3,02034.0%$1,48123.5%-11 pts
Fort Worth, TX$2,08128.5%$1,36730.8%2 pts
Houston, TX$1,80710.4%$1,29423.8%13 pts
Indianapolis, IN$1,2809.1%$1,01419.9%11 pts
Jacksonville, FL$1,62531.5%$1,29825.3%-6 pts
Kansas City, MO$1,391-0.8%$1,11618.5%19 pts
Las Vegas, NV$1,82025.2%$1,62031.7%7 pts
Los Angeles, CA$3,3949.6%$3,38720.7%11 pts
Miami, FL$3,02034.0%$1,78529.0%-5 pts
Milwaukee, WI$1,7319.7%$1,00514.5%5 pts
Minneapolis, MN$1,8609.0%$1,35914.1%5 pts
Montgomery County, PA$2,23313.2%$1,56216.1%3 pts
Nashville, TN$1,87213.9%$1,66331.1%17 pts
Nassau County, NY$3,71834.5%$2,33313.4%-21 pts
New Brunswick, NJ$3,71834.5%$1,72416.5%-18 pts
New York, NY$3,71834.5%$2,59614.5%-20 pts
Newark, NJ$3,71834.5%$1,86614.2%-20 pts
Oakland, CA$3,52015.0%$3,55414.2%-1 pts
Orlando, FL$2,05028.8%$1,44429.6%1 pts
Philadelphia, PA$2,23313.2%$1,05113.9%1 pts
Phoenix, AZ$2,10726.0%$1,76635.1%9 pts
Pittsburgh, PA$1,7078.9%$82011.0%2 pts
Portland, OR$2,39229.4%$2,06919.6%-10 pts
Providence, RI$2,17613.1%$1,54220.5%7 pts
Riverside, CA$2,66618.5%$2,15024.9%6 pts
Sacramento, CA$2,58220.7%$2,22421.8%1 pts
San Antonio, TX$1,38611.5%$1,25225.3%14 pts
San Diego, CA$3,07710.8%$3,14223.9%13 pts
San Francisco, CA$3,52015.0%$6,03816.4%1 pts
San Jose, CA$3,3006.7%$5,55021.3%15 pts
Seattle, WA$2,72420.9%$2,94923.4%3 pts
St. Louis, MO$1,4481.3%$90113.8%13 pts
Tampa, FL$2,07628.1%$1,37131.2%3 pts
Virginia Beach, VA$1,68120.4%$1,15612.1%-8 pts
Warren, MI$1,55211.4%$1,04313.0%2 pts
Washington, D.C.$2,53812.0%$1,97814.4%2 pts
West Palm Beach, FL$3,02034.0%$1,58220.4%-14 pts
National$1,87714.1%$1,55321.6%7 pts

Methodology

Redfin’s rent-versus-own analysis uses data from more than 20,000 apartment buildings across the US. The report combines rental data on all sizes of apartments for rent with home sales data on all residential home sales (single-family, townhouse and condos) from public records and the multiple listing service (MLS). When this report refers to the median mortgage payment for new homebuyers, it is based on a 5% down payment, the median sale price during the month and the average mortgage interest rate for the month. The report uses a 5% down payment in order to be comparable to what an average renter may be able to reasonably achieve in savings. Redfin analyzed home sales data from the MLS, and public records and rent prices from RentPath, across the 50 largest metro areas in the US. Monthly rental prices in this report are not directly comparable to monthly homebuyer mortgage payments, since the mix of homes available to rent and the mix of homes being purchased differ in location, size and quality of home within each metro area. For example, most of the homes being purchased may be in the less expensive suburbs of the metropolitan area, while the apartments being rented may be closer to the more expensive city core. It is also important to note that the prices in this report reflect the current costs of new leases and new mortgages during each time period. In other words, the amount shown as the average rent is not the average of what all renters are paying, but the average cost of apartments that were available for new renters during the report month. Likewise, the median monthly mortgage payment shown is only for homes that sold during the report month, not for all homeowners.
Lily Katz

Lily Katz

As a data journalist, Lily is passionate about helping readers understand complex facets of the housing market. She is particularly interested in the issues of climate change, race and gender equality and housing affordability. Prior to working at Redfin, Lily spent four years as a reporter at Bloomberg News in New York City.

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Tim Ellis

Tim Ellis has been analyzing the real estate market since 2005, and worked at Redfin as a housing market analyst from 2010 through 2013 and again starting in 2018. In his free time, he runs the independently-operated Seattle-area real estate website Seattle Bubble, and produces the "Dispatches from the Multiverse" improvised comedy sci-fi podcast.

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