{"id":33376,"date":"2015-05-21T17:56:21","date_gmt":"2015-05-22T00:56:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redfindevelop.wpengine.com\/blog\/?p=33376"},"modified":"2020-10-05T13:12:06","modified_gmt":"2020-10-05T20:12:06","slug":"the-digital-diaspora","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/the-digital-diaspora\/","title":{"rendered":"The Digital Diaspora"},"content":{"rendered":"

This post\u00a0first appeared as guest commentary from Redfin CEO Glenn Kelman on CNBC.com<\/a>.<\/em>
\nAt a recent conference, the founder of one technology titan asked another if it was even possible to build a platform-technology company outside of Silicon Valley. It was a fair question, given the dominance of Google, Facebook and Apple. But from where I sat, it seemed easier to build a company of that size today almost anywhere except<\/i> Silicon Valley.
\n\"Skyline-fixed\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Credit for photo of Silicon Valley: Vadim Kurland on Flickr<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n

Others have had the same thought. A spate of startups and now venture funds have recently left Silicon Valley for LA (Snapchat), Chicago (Keepsake), Seattle (Sherbert), and even Ohio (Drive).
\nThe company where I work, Redfin<\/a>, understands this impulse better than anyone. We are real estate brokers, with technology used by 10+ million people each month looking to move. And the simplest trend we see in American life is that Silicon Valley is no longer just the place talented people move to;<\/i> it\u2019s the place those people are moving from.
\n“The Dam Has Broken”
\n<\/strong>In 2011, one in seven people in the Bay Area searched Redfin.com for homes outside of the Bay Area. Now it\u2019s one in four. As Adam Wiener, our chief growth officer, announced to other executives last month: \u201cThe dam has broken.\u201d
\nIn the past four years, the number of Bay Area people searching for Seattle homes has quadrupled; for Portland homes, that number has quintupled. For every 13 Bay Area people searching for a home, one is now searching in the Pacific Northwest alone:
\n

\"Table<\/a>
Where Bay Area People Search Redfin.com for Homes to Buy, the First Three Months of 2011 – 2015<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n 
\nAnd these aren\u2019t just idle online searches. One of our Denver employees had a simple answer for where she is now meeting our clients: \u201cat the airport,\u201d with many flying in from Northern California. Silicon Valley transplants have become so common that Redfin\u2019s Boston agents just this week reported resentment among locals who can\u2019t compete. \u201cMy God, they are pouring in,\u201d Redfin\u2019s Boston broker, Alex Coon, wrote me this morning, \u201cparticularly in Cambridge and Somerville.\u201d The result? According to Matt Zborezny, the Redfin agent for that area, 20% above asking price is the new norm.
\nLeaving Because They Can’t Afford to Stay
\n<\/strong>Folks are leaving Silicon Valley mostly because they can\u2019t afford to stay. For the first time ever, the median price for a Silicon Valley home just exceeded one million dollars. That\u2019s about double what it is in other tech cities like Boston or Seattle, and triple what it is in aspiring technology hubs like Portland, Denver or Austin.
\n\"Table<\/a>
\n 
\nThose in technology who can afford to stay in Silicon Valley all know it as one of the most beautiful places to live in the world, but a wariness has sunk in as folks from other walks of life are forced to leave: coffee shops are wall-to-wall with aspiring entrepreneurs, and restaurants buzz with talk of valuations and venture capital. It can be too much.
\nJust today, a journalist who has covered technology from San Francisco for nearly a decade told me that people here seem more focused on money than in the past. If that\u2019s true, it isn\u2019t entirely by choice: people hop from job to job and deal to deal because sometimes that\u2019s the only way they can afford to stay.
\nA Pay Gap, but Not Big Enough
\n<\/strong>According to compensation data company PayScale.com<\/a>, Silicon Valley engineers earn nearly 50% more than their Boston counterparts; in Seattle that difference is smaller, but still significant, at 12%. Nowhere is the pay difference large enough to offset the cost of housing.
\n<\/strong>
\n\"Salary<\/a>
\nFor these mostly entry-level jobs, the median level of experience is two to four years, with marketing managers at five to six years. At the most competitive companies, salaries are significantly higher.
\nIn our own experience at Redfin employing engineers in Seattle and San Francisco, we\u2019ve noticed that as Google, Facebook and Dropbox have opened Seattle offices, the differences in engineering pay, especially among recent graduates of top computer-science programs, have disappeared. But the pay of all the people responsible for the actual day-to-day operations of the business, in accounting, marketing or human resources, is more closely tied to the local cost of living. This is why, as Glassdoor reports today<\/a>, the best places for jobs in America are now up-and-coming tech hubs like Raleigh and Austin, ranking ahead of San Jose or San Francisco.
\nOur board, which once encouraged us to pay whatever it takes to hire engineers in San Francisco, is now also asking if we want to explore opening engineering offices in Portland and Austin. Technologies such as Slack, SourceTree and Stash, and examples of purely virtual companies such as Automattic and GitHub, have made it easier than ever for people to contribute from anywhere. And those folks are more likely to stick around. The CEO of a publicly traded Internet company recently told me the people in his recently opened Midwest office see it \u201cnot just as a job but as a career.\u201d
\nCommercial Rents 50% – 100% Higher than Other Tech Hubs
\n<\/strong>Salaries aren\u2019t the only costs that are lower in other places. Silicon Valley commercial rents are nearly double what they would be in in Denver or Portland, and 50% higher than Austin or Seattle. For a 100-person office, the difference is $400,000 a year, lowering operating expenses by about 2%; in a typical software company with 15% margins, this difference is significant.
\n
\"Rent<\/a>
Commercial Rents for Class A Office Space as of April 2015, Courtesy of CBRE<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n 
\nMany high-tech businesses are starting to worry about the rent: when we asked a CBRE broker, Owen Rice, for this data, he wrote back with a funny-that-you-should-ask email, noting that \u201cmore and more we are creating multi-market analyses for our clients,\u201d including those based in a suddenly more-expensive Seattle as well the Valley.
\nInnovation is Priceless
\n<\/strong>But what about the original question, whether it\u2019s possible to build a technology platform company outside Silicon Valley? A platform company builds technology used by other technology companies, from the iPhone that runs other applications to the Facebook login we use to access other websites, compounding each employee\u2019s leverage. This is why Facebook\u2019s market value exceeds $20 million per employee.
\nThese companies don\u2019t have to worry about expenses much. As my first mentor in Silicon Valley, Kirill Sheynkman, once explained to me at a French restaurant, the point in an innovation economy isn\u2019t to spend less, it\u2019s to make more. And, for a platform company, the value of being close to the technology companies that build on your platform is priceless.
\nBut as our industry matures, the pressure will be on profits, not just revenues. And few high-tech companies get as much leverage as Facebook from each employee. Even a platform company like Twitter is worth about four times less per employee than Facebook. With less equity to burn, Twitter has had to be the pacesetter in raising San Francisco engineering salaries, which is why its stock is now under so much earnings pressure<\/a>. Only the techiest of tech companies — and only their tech people — don\u2019t feel the pinch.
\nNow of course Silicon Valley isn\u2019t going to empty out. Its population remained constant over the last decade, and will remain so again in this one. More people will come here, but more will leave too. The result will be the Valley-ification of America, a form of gentrification more extreme than most of America has seen before, with high-tech jobs, high incomes, and more expensive coffee, yoga studios and yes, houses too.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n

\"Glenn<\/a>
\nFollow Glenn on Twitter @glennkelman<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\nOther popular posts:<\/span><\/strong>
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\n2.\u00a0The Single Parent’s Guide to Buying a Home: Assistance, Grants, and Home Ownership<\/a><\/span>
\n3.\u00a0The Walkability Activist’s Toolkit<\/a><\/span>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The company where I work, Redfin, understands the impulse to build a platform-technology company outside of Silicon Valley. We are real estate brokers, with technology used by 10+ million people each month looking to move. And the simplest trend we see in American life is that Silicon Valley is no longer just the place talented people move to; it\u2019s the place those people are moving from.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13210,"featured_media":33386,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[57],"tags":[32,68],"dashboard":[],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-33376","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-company-news","tag-housing-market-tracker","tag-local"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nThe Digital Diaspora - Redfin Real Estate News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Silicon Valley is no longer just the place talented people move to; 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