{"id":35816,"date":"2015-08-18T11:10:43","date_gmt":"2015-08-18T18:10:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redfindevelop.wpengine.com\/blog\/?p=35816"},"modified":"2020-10-06T17:08:28","modified_gmt":"2020-10-07T00:08:28","slug":"more-construction-good-for-the-housing-market-but-not-good-enough","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/more-construction-good-for-the-housing-market-but-not-good-enough\/","title":{"rendered":"More Construction: Good For the Housing Market, But Not Good Enough"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Every month, the Census Bureau tells us how many homes are being built. Generally, economists like the number to go up, because more construction means more jobs, more consumer spending and more economic growth.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><strong>Sometimes, though, even a big increase in new home construction is disappointing.<\/strong> That happened in June, when housing starts jumped nearly 10 percent from a month earlier. It sounded good, but turned out to be a one-off blip caused by New York developers rushing to break ground before a tax credit was set to <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/home-builders-rush-to-put-up-rental-units-at-28-year-high-2015-07-17\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">expire<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. <\/span><br \/>\nToday, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.census.gov\/construction\/nrc\/pdf\/newresconst.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Census data<\/a> showed starts rose only 0.2 percent in July, to about 1.2 million groundbreakings a year. Even though the increase was small, it\u2019s upbeat news because the growth was driven by single-family construction, which jumped 12.8 percent to a rate of 782,000 new houses a year. Multi-family starts fell more than 17 percent.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><strong>Good, right? <\/strong>Yes, but not great. The chart shows you why.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/starts-2015July.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-35850\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/starts-2015July.png\" alt=\"housing market\" width=\"1053\" height=\"603\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/starts-2015July.png 1053w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/starts-2015July-300x172.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/starts-2015July-1024x586.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/starts-2015July-768x440.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1053px) 100vw, 1053px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Despite the pickup in construction, <a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/blog\/2015\/07\/where-will-everybody-live-new-homes-arent-keeping-up.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">we\u2019re way behind<\/a> where we should be. The population is growing and millennials, the country\u2019s biggest cohort, are getting married and starting their own households. Rising demand and lagging supply in housing have been driving the big <a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/research\/reports\/real-time-housing-market-tracker\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">price increases<\/a> we\u2019ve been seeing in many markets. That\u2019s one reason all those <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.pewsocialtrends.org\/2015\/07\/29\/more-millennials-living-with-family-despite-improved-job-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">millennials are living at home<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, despite an improved job market.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><strong>\u201cIt\u2019s important to look at this number in context,\u201d<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/blog\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Redfin<\/a> Chief Economist Nela Richardson told <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/videos\/2015-08-18\/can-builders-keep-up-with-hot-u-s-housing-market-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bloomberg<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. \u201cIt\u2019s 40 percent below the peak. It\u2019s not keeping up with the pace of demand.\u201d<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Homebuilders are optimistic, but their sunny outlook has yet to translate to that pickup in construction we need. The <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nahb.org\/en\/news-and-publications\/Press-Releases\/2015\/august\/builder-confidence-rises-one-point-in-august.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">NAHB\/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, which tracks builder sentiment on sales and customer traffic, came in at 61 for August, its highest level since November 2005.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Until builders start breaking more ground, though, buyers shouldn\u2019t expect much relief from rising prices.<\/span><br \/>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Builders are constructing more new homes, but they&#8217;re not keeping up with demand from our growing population and coming-of-age millennials. That&#8217;s one big reason prices continue to rise.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13355,"featured_media":35817,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[32,74],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-35816","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-housing-market-news","tag-housing-market-tracker","tag-mortgage-tips"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.7 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>More Construction is Good for the Housing Market, but Not Good Enough<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"More houses are under construction, but not enough to keep up with population growth and coming-of-age millennials. 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