{"id":50444,"date":"2016-06-09T04:00:11","date_gmt":"2016-06-09T11:00:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redfindevelop.wpengine.com\/blog\/?p=50444"},"modified":"2020-10-06T17:08:16","modified_gmt":"2020-10-07T00:08:16","slug":"denver-seattle-and-portland-are-the-hottest-markets-of-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/denver-seattle-and-portland-are-the-hottest-markets-of-2016\/","title":{"rendered":"Denver, Seattle and Portland are the Hottest Housing Markets of 2016"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">How do you tell if a housing market is scorching hot? One way is to see what portion of homes are designated <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/blog\/2014\/06\/redfin-hot-homes.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Redfin Hot Homes<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. It\u2019s an algorithm Redfin developed to identify homes likely to sell within two weeks. By this measure, Denver, Seattle and Portland are the hottest housing\u00a0markets of 2016, with Hot Homes making up a larger share of listings than in any other market Redfin tracks. In those markets, and in Boulder, Colorado, more than 60 percent of homes listed this year were forecast to sell within 14 days. By comparison, San Francisco, which is often discussed as one of the hottest housing markets in the country, had 43 percent of homes labeled as Hot Homes.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"media-50446\" class=\"align-center\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Hot-Homes-Graphic.png\" alt=\"Hottest housing markets 2016\" width=\"787\" height=\"484\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Indeed, in April a typical home found a buyer eight days after it went to market in Seattle and Portland, Oregon. In Denver, that number was 10 days. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In all three metros, prices are shooting up faster than the national pace.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">San Francisco has justifiably gotten lots of ink over the past several years about high prices, low inventory, heated bidding wars and fast sales. But this year, there are three more markets that standout: Denver, Portland and Seattle. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">How much have Denver, Portland and Seattle heated up? In April 2012, a typical home in Denver found a buyer\u00a0in 36 days and in Portland it was 65 days and in Seattle it was 50. Last year, homes in those markets found buyers\u00a0in 14, 18 and 10 days, respectively. This year, homes are finding buyers seemingly the day they are open for tours. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s not unusual for a home in Denver to have more 100 showings in one weekend, with sellers having their pick of up to 30 offers, reports Redfin agent <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/real-estate-agents\/karla-adams\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Karla Kirkpatrick Adams<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cThe market is moving so quickly that I can no longer use recent sales as a guide for what my clients should offer on a home. Instead, I call listing agents of similar homes that are under contract but haven\u2019t yet sold. I ask them the contract price, which is a more up-to-date reflection of the current market than the prices of homes that have already sold. That way, I can advise my clients accurately,\u201d said Kirkpatrick Adams. \u201cIn a more balanced market, that doesn\u2019t happen.\u201d <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In Denver, 64 percent of offers Redfin agents wrote last month faced competition. In Portland, that number was 67 percent, while Seattle outpaced them both, with 78 percent of offers facing competition.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>The Anatomy of a Hot Real Estate Market<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>[redfin_table file=&#8221;https:\/\/redfin.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/UpdatedDenverPortland-Stats-chart-2.csv&#8221; footnote=&#8221;(All stats from April data, aside from Redfin Offers Facing Competition, which is May data)&#8221;][\/redfin_table]<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Why is this happening? It has to do with the number of homes for sale. <\/span><\/p>\n<h3>Low Inventory Drives High Prices<\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Economists consider a housing market that has six months supply to be balanced between buyers and sellers, with anything between five and seven months considered healthy. The fewer months of supply, the more the market favors sellers. As of April, Seattle had 1.2 months supply, Denver had 1.3 months and Portland had 1.4 months, all extremely low numbers. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cHere in Portland, we\u2019re seeing many buyers from out-of-state competing with locals,\u201d Redfin real estate agent <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/real-estate-agents\/charles-blanchette\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Charles Blanchette<\/span><\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/real-estate-agents\/charles-blanchette\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">said<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. \u201cA lot are paying cash as a way to make their offer more desirable to the seller. That\u2019s led local buyers, most of whom need mortgages, to increase their offer amounts, leading to a surge in prices.\u201d<\/span><br \/>\n\u201cOne strategy that has led to success for our local buyers is writing a personalized cover letter, where the buyer paints a picture of growing up in the Pacific Northwest, contributing to the community, and how meaningful it would be to live in that particular home. Some sellers care more about their home\u2019s legacy than getting the highest offer,\u201d said Blanchette.<\/p>\n<h3>The Upshot<\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cStrong job growth and relatively affordable home prices have been lightning rods of buyer demand for Denver and Portland,\u201d Redfin chief economist Nela Richardson said. \u201cTheir economies have a lot in common with the tech enclaves to the west, Seattle and San Francisco, but there\u2019s a big difference&#8211;home prices.\u201d<\/span><br \/>\nThe typical home in Denver and Portland is an incredible $850,000 less than in San Francisco. Portland and Denver also offer a respite from Seattle, where homes typically sell for around $90,000 more than those two cities. That said, for San Franciscans, Seattle home prices may seem like a great deal.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cThe combination of jobs, affordability and a desirable western lifestyle is a triumvirate that buyers are flocking to this year,\u201d Richardson said.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>More than 60 percent of homes listed this year in Denver, Seattle and Portland were forecast to sell within 14 days.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13053,"featured_media":50495,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[37,32,68,13],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-50444","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-housing-market-news","tag-hottest-neighborhoods","tag-housing-market-tracker","tag-local","tag-redfin-tools"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.7 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Anatomy of a Hot Real Estate Market<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"In some markets, most homes are likely to find a buyer in less than two weeks, making them the hottest housing markets so far this year.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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