{"id":53485,"date":"2016-09-19T06:51:48","date_gmt":"2016-09-19T13:51:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redfindevelop.wpengine.com\/blog\/?p=53485"},"modified":"2020-10-05T16:22:45","modified_gmt":"2020-10-05T23:22:45","slug":"single-moms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/single-moms\/","title":{"rendered":"Single-Mother Households On the Rise in Key Election States"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: right\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">With Redfin Data Scientists <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/blog\/author\/taylormarr\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Taylor Marr<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/blog\/author\/ericscharnhorst\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Eric Scharnhorst<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Child care policy has taken center stage in the national presidential campaign. While <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hillaryclinton.com\/issues\/early-childhood-education\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Hillary Clinton\u2019s plan<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> includes 12 weeks of paid parental leave for male and female parents, Donald\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.donaldjtrump.com\/press-releases\/fact-sheet-donald-j.-trumps-new-child-care-plan\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Trump\u2019s<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> offers half as much leave, just to new mothers. Child care is an important voting issue, regardless of marital and parental statuses, but single mothers are among those who will be the most directly affected by whichever plan is enacted. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">To see where child care benefits could have the most impact in this year\u2019s election, Redfin looked into the latest data released by the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/programs-surveys\/acs\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">American Community Survey<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> (ACS). \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The share of households headed by a single mom grew significantly in 24 of America\u2019s 100 largest cities in 2015. The increases are concentrated in key battleground states, critical to the outcome of this year\u2019s election. \u00a0California, Texas and Florida are home to several cities that are seeing a boom in young families headed by single mothers. California and Texas claimed five of the top 10 cities with the largest growth in the share of single-mom households.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"media-53486\" class=\"align-none\"><\/figure>\n<figure id=\"media-53559\" class=\"align-none\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/single-mom-1.png\" alt=\"Map: arrow length shows the increase in the share of single-mom households in 2015, compared with the rate in 2012 for each city.\" \/><figcaption>Map: arrow length shows the increase in the share of single-mom households in 2015, compared with the rate in 2012 for each city.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">While many of the top cities are in California, a blue state that everyone expects will go to Clinton, Arizona and Florida are both important states for Trump to win. Given the large increase in single-mother households in these cities, the specificity of Trump\u2019s plan may help him with female voters even in California &#8212; a demographic he\u2019s been accused of ignoring at best and slandering at worst. <\/span><\/p>\n<p>Each of these cities share another demographic trait important to this year\u2019s election &#8212; a large foreign-born population. So while Trump\u2019s proposal to provide child care assistance may help him in these communities, his aggressive stance on immigration could mean one step forward and two steps back for his campaign.<\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Table: top ten cities with the largest increase in the share of single mom households from 2012 to 2015.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<table class=\"ScienceTable\" style=\"font-size: 14px\">\n<thead>\n<tr style=\"height: 14px !important\">\n<th class=\"c0 \" style=\"text-align: left\">Rank<\/th>\n<th class=\"c1 \" style=\"text-align: left\">City<\/th>\n<th class=\"c3 \" style=\"text-align: left\">Share of Single-Mom Households<br \/>\nPercent Change (2012-15)<\/th>\n<th class=\"c2 \" style=\"text-align: left\">Share of Single-Mom Households<\/th>\n<th class=\"c4 \" style=\"text-align: left\">Current Polling*<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr class=\"\">\n<td class=\"c0 \" style=\"text-align: left\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"c1 \" style=\"text-align: left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/3494\/?utm_source=blog&amp;utm_medium=post&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;utm_campaign=1002170'\">Chula Vista, California<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"c3 \" style=\"text-align: left\">20.2%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c2 \" style=\"text-align: left\">3.5%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c4 \" style=\"text-align: left;background-color: #2597e9\">D +20.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"\">\n<td class=\"c0 \" style=\"text-align: left\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"c1 \" style=\"text-align: left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/3104\/?utm_source=blog&amp;utm_medium=post&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;utm_campaign=1002170'\">Chandler, Arizona<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"c3 \" style=\"text-align: left\">18.6%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c2 \" style=\"text-align: left\">2.9%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c4 \" style=\"text-align: left;background-color: #ff9d8b\">R +4.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"\">\n<td class=\"c0 \" style=\"text-align: left\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"c1 \" style=\"text-align: left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/19459\/?utm_source=blog&amp;utm_medium=post&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;utm_campaign=1002170'\">Tucson, Arizona<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"c3 \" style=\"text-align: left\">16.7%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c2 \" style=\"text-align: left\">4.1%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c4 \" style=\"text-align: left;background-color: #ff9d8b\">R +4.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"\">\n<td class=\"c0 \" style=\"text-align: left\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"c1 \" style=\"text-align: left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/14141\/?utm_source=blog&amp;utm_medium=post&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;utm_campaign=1002170'\">Oxnard, California<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"c3 \" style=\"text-align: left\">15.1%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c2 \" style=\"text-align: left\">3.6%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c4 \" style=\"text-align: left;background-color: #2597e9\">D +20.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"\">\n<td class=\"c0 \" style=\"text-align: left\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"c1 \" style=\"text-align: left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/18142\/?utm_source=blog&amp;utm_medium=post&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;utm_campaign=1002170'\">Tampa, Florida<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"c3 \" style=\"text-align: left\">14.3%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c2 \" style=\"text-align: left\">4.4%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c4 \" style=\"text-align: left;background-color: #ffd6cc\">R +1.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"\">\n<td class=\"c0 \" style=\"text-align: left\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"c1 \" style=\"text-align: left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/8903\/?utm_source=blog&amp;utm_medium=post&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;utm_campaign=1002170'\">Houston, Texas<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"c3 \" style=\"text-align: left\">13.8%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c2 \" style=\"text-align: left\">4.6%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c4 \" style=\"text-align: left;background-color: #ff6e5d\">R +9.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"\">\n<td class=\"c0 \" style=\"text-align: left\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"c1 \" style=\"text-align: left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/4144\/?utm_source=blog&amp;utm_medium=post&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;utm_campaign=1002170'\">Chesapeake, Virginia<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"c3 \" style=\"text-align: left\">13.2%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c2 \" style=\"text-align: left\">3.6%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c4 \" style=\"text-align: left;background-color: #85baf1\">D +4.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"\">\n<td class=\"c0 \" style=\"text-align: left\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"c1 \" style=\"text-align: left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/16659\/?utm_source=blog&amp;utm_medium=post&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;utm_campaign=1002170'\">San Bernardino, California<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"c3 \" style=\"text-align: left\">11.5%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c2 \" style=\"text-align: left\">5.1%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c4 \" style=\"text-align: left;background-color: #2597e9\">D +20.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"\">\n<td class=\"c0 \" style=\"text-align: left\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"c1 \" style=\"text-align: left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/16661\/?utm_source=blog&amp;utm_medium=post&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;utm_campaign=1002170'\">St. Louis, Missouri<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"c3 \" style=\"text-align: left\">9.5%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c2 \" style=\"text-align: left\">5.4%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c4 \" style=\"text-align: left;background-color: #ff6e5d\">R +8.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"\">\n<td class=\"c0 \" style=\"text-align: left\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"c1 \" style=\"text-align: left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/6904\/?utm_source=blog&amp;utm_medium=post&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;utm_campaign=1002170'\">Fresno, California<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"c3 \" style=\"text-align: left\">7.3%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c2 \" style=\"text-align: left\">4.9%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c4 \" style=\"text-align: left;background-color: #2597e9\">D +20.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"\" style=\"border-top: 1px solid black\">\n<td class=\"c0 \" style=\"text-align: left\"><\/td>\n<td class=\"c1 \" style=\"text-align: left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/blog\/?utm_source=blog&amp;utm_medium=post&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;utm_campaign=1002170'\"><b>National<\/b><\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"c3 \" style=\"text-align: left;color: red\">-6.7%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c2 \" style=\"text-align: left\">3.6%<\/td>\n<td class=\"c4 \" style=\"text-align: left\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The growth in the overall number of families was less dramatic than the growth in single-mom families; fewer cities saw a significant increase, and the increases were generally smaller.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Data<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Demographic data came from the one-year <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/programs-surveys\/acs\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">American Community Survey<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> for 2015 and 2012. The median sale price of homes came from <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/blog\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Redfin<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. The analysis looked at U.S. cities with a population of at least 200,000. The family percentages do not include grandparents that are legal guardians. Current polling by state came from <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2016-election-forecast\/?ex_cid=rrpromo\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">538<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u2019s aggregation<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> of recent state presidential election polls. View the full code that powered this analysis <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/github.com\/redfin-research\/single-mom-and-families-growth-cities\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">here<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-family: 'Georgia',serif;color: #333333\">Other popular posts:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Georgia',serif;color: #333333\">1. <a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/blog\/simple-home-fixes-to-ease-parenting-with-disabilities\">Simple Home Fixes to Ease Parenting with Disabilities<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Georgia',serif;color: #333333\">2. <a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/blog\/home-improvements-that-boost-home-resale-value\">How to Boost Resale Value with Home Improvements<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Georgia',serif;color: #333333\">3. <a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/blog\/treat-seasonal-affective-disorder-home\">How to Prevent and Treat Seasonal Affective Disorder at Home<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With Redfin Data Scientists Taylor Marr and Eric Scharnhorst Child care policy has taken center stage in the national presidential campaign. While Hillary Clinton\u2019s plan includes 12 weeks of paid parental leave for male and female parents, Donald\u00a0Trump\u2019s offers half as much leave, just to new mothers. Child care is an important voting issue, regardless [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13421,"featured_media":53559,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[15,32,35],"dashboard":[],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-53485","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-regional-trends","tag-diversity","tag-housing-market-tracker","tag-redfin-surveys"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.7 (Yoast SEO v27.7) - 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