{"id":67800,"date":"2020-02-11T05:00:04","date_gmt":"2020-02-11T13:00:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redfindevelop.wpengine.com\/blog\/?p=67800"},"modified":"2020-10-06T14:21:47","modified_gmt":"2020-10-06T21:21:47","slug":"new-home-construction-q4-2019","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/new-home-construction-q4-2019\/","title":{"rendered":"New-Home Sales Surge in the Fourth Quarter as Inventory Tumbles, Prices Flatten"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sales of new homes are up the most since 2017, but new-home construction is lagging in the markets that need it the most.<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New-home sales rose 8.8% year over year in the fourth quarter, the biggest gain in more than two years and the third-consecutive quarter of increases, driving continued depletion of inventory in the market.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-67801 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Homes-Sold--e1581384249121.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"556\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New-home supply slid 11.1% year over year, the biggest inventory drop since at least 2012 and the third-straight quarter of declines.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-67802 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Inventory-copy-e1581384293995.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"552\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Inventory-copy-e1581384293995.png 800w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Inventory-copy-e1581384293995-300x207.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Inventory-copy-e1581384293995-768x530.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">National sale prices of new homes slipped 0.3% year over year to a median of $369,900 in the fourth quarter. That marks the smallest drop out of the past three-consecutive quarters of declines. But even though the national median price was flat from last year, many more affordable markets, including <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/7161\/NC\/Greensboro\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Greensboro, NC<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, saw prices rise.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-67803 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Median-Sale-Price-copy-e1581384899352.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"556\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Median-Sale-Price-copy-e1581384899352.png 800w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Median-Sale-Price-copy-e1581384899352-300x209.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Median-Sale-Price-copy-e1581384899352-768x534.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Meanwhile, existing-home prices rose 6%, sales increased 5.8% (the largest gain in three years) and inventory slipped 14.2% (the biggest slide since 2013).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cThe market has seen a mismatch between where new construction of homes are needed the most and where new homes are being built, and that\u2019s because builders are focused on areas where they can cheaply acquire and develop land,\u201d Redfin chief economist <a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/blog\/author\/darylfairweather\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Daryl Fairweather<\/a> said. For example, expensive cities like <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/17151\/CA\/San-Francisco\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">San Francisco<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> have seen a decline in building permits, while construction is booming in places like <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/35711\/NC\/Raleigh\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Raleigh, NC<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/6171\/TX\/El-Paso\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">El Paso, TX<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, which are already quite affordable.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cThe only way to solve this mismatch between where people need homes and where homes are being built is for people to move to where the homes are, and that\u2019s already happening,\u201d said Fairweather. \u201cLooking ahead, permits have increased thanks to low interest rates, so even though inventory is down, there\u2019s hope for the future given that permits are up so significantly.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One region with a particularly large swell in building permits is <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/10455\/AR\/Little-Rock\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Little Rock, AR<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, which saw a more than 200% increase in the fourth quarter.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cNew-home construction in <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">West Little Rock and surrounding cities<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> has been surging. The area has a lot of rural space, so there&#8217;s plenty of room for expansion. Plus, it&#8217;s affordable to build here compared to other parts of the country,&#8221; said local Redfin team manager <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/real-estate-agents\/bonnie-nixon\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bonnie Nixon<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. &#8220;One trend we&#8217;re seeing is developers demolishing older homes and rebuilding more modern ones.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><b>National new-home construction trends in the fourth quarter:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New-home sales increased annually in 62 of the 88 metros tracked by Redfin.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For all types of residential construction, building permits climbed 12.2% year over year, which was down from the three-month period ending in October, but the biggest quarterly increase since December 2015. For single-family homes, building permits rose 9.8%, up from 3% last quarter.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Building permits per 10,000 people rose 11.3%, up from 9% last quarter.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For new homes, the median price per square foot was $173, up 1.9% from the year before. For existing homes, it was $176, up 4% annually.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The typical new home was on the market for 90 days before going under contract, down from 94 days the year before. The typical existing home spent 44 days on the market, down from 45 in December 2018.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New listings of newly built homes were up 1.9%, while new listings of existing homes were down 4.8%, the most since at least 2012.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>Metro-level highlights for new-home construction in the fourth quarter:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/35711\/NC\/Raleigh\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Raleigh, NC<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, 31.9% of all homes sold in the fourth quarter were newly built, the highest share of any metro. It was followed by <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/6171\/TX\/El-Paso\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">El Paso, TX<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (29.8%) and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/13415\/TN\/Nashville\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Nashville, TN<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (29.5%).<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Just 1.2% of all homes sold in the fourth quarter in <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/13136\/NJ\/Newark\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Newark, NJ<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> were new construction, a lower share than any other metro. Second lowest was <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/16162\/NY\/Rochester\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rochester, NY<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (1.5%), followed by the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/30749\/NY\/New-York\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New York<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> metro area (1.9%).<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The rate of building permits increased most in <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/10455\/AR\/Little-Rock\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Little Rock, AR<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (208.9%), <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/2070\/CT\/Bridgeport\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bridgeport, CT<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (172.1%) and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/15935\/CA\/Riverside\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Riverside, CA<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (118.6%).<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/17151\/CA\/San-Francisco\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">San Francisco<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> saw the largest annual decline in building permits (-67.4%), followed by <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/35759\/WI\/Milwaukee\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Milwaukee<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (-53.9%) and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/2570\/NJ\/Camden\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Camden, NJ<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (-39.9%).\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/13136\/NJ\/Newark\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Newark, NJ<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> had a 21% year-over-year increase in price per square foot for new homes, more than any other metro in the U.S. Next came <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/5665\/MI\/Detroit\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Detroit<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (11.8%) and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/2570\/NJ\/Camden\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Camden, NJ<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (11.6%).\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/13654\/CA\/Oakland\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oakland, CA<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> saw the biggest inventory rise in the fourth quarter, with a 29.9% increase. It\u2019s followed by <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/13136\/NJ\/Newark\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Newark<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (26.5%) and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/17151\/CA\/San-Francisco\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">San Francisco<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (24.4%).\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/17150\/UT\/Salt-Lake-City\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Salt Lake City<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> experienced a 77.3% decline in new inventory, more than any other metro. Next came <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/16409\/CA\/Sacramento\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sacramento, CA<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (-42.9%) and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/7161\/NC\/Greensboro\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Greensboro, NC<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (-38.7%).\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sales of newly built homes increased 81.8% to 120 in <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/11570\/TX\/McAllen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">McAllen, TX<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, more than any other metro. It\u2019s followed by <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/13410\/CT\/New-Haven\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New Haven, CT<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (up 79.2% to 86 homes sold) and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/19459\/AZ\/Tucson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tucson, AZ<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (up 44.2% to 349).\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sales of newly built homes decreased most in <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/30749\/NY\/New-York\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New York<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, down 42.5% to 258 homes sold, followed by <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/17150\/UT\/Salt-Lake-City\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Salt Lake City<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (down 42.4% to 388) and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/redfin.com\/city\/17151\/CA\/San-Francisco\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">San Francisco<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (down 28.3% to 66).<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>New-home sales rose 8.8% year over year in the fourth quarter, the biggest gain in more than two years<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13346,"featured_media":67801,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"default","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,25],"tags":[39],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-67800","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-housing-market-news","category-new-construction","tag-new-construction"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.7 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>New-Home Sales Surge in the Fourth Quarter as Inventory Tumbles, Prices Flatten New-Home Sales Surge in Fourth Quarter as Inventory TumblesNew-Home Sales Surge in the Fourth Quarter as Inventory Tumbles, Prices Flatten<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Sales of new homes are up the most since 2017, but new-home construction is lagging in the markets that 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