{"id":72692,"date":"2021-06-09T05:00:14","date_gmt":"2021-06-09T12:00:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/?p=72692"},"modified":"2021-06-11T12:24:51","modified_gmt":"2021-06-11T19:24:51","slug":"flood-risk-home-price-premium-q1-2021","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/flood-risk-home-price-premium-q1-2021\/","title":{"rendered":"Homes With High Flood Risk Are Selling for Nearly $50,000 More Than Low-Risk Homes as Pandemic Buyers Chase Waterfront Properties"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The typical home with high flood risk sold for $402,010 in the first quarter\u2014a 14% premium over the typical home with low flood risk. That\u2019s double the premium we saw before the pandemic.<\/span><\/i><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The median sale price of homes with high flood risk was $402,010 in the first quarter, compared with $353,783 for homes with low flood risk. That means high-risk homes sold for a record 13.6% premium\u2014up from a premium of 10.1% in the first quarter of 2020 and a premium of 7.2% in the first quarter of 2019.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-72693\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/new-flood-risk-chart-msp.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"552\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/new-flood-risk-chart-msp.png 1302w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/new-flood-risk-chart-msp-300x207.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/new-flood-risk-chart-msp-1024x707.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/new-flood-risk-chart-msp-768x530.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Since 2013, homes with high flood risk have sold for about 7% more than homes with low flood risk on average, likely because many of them are <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/luxury-versus-affordable-housing-market-q1-2021\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">luxury<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> waterfront properties. That premium surged during the coronavirus pandemic, when many wealthy homebuyers started <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/second-home-demand-doubles\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">eyeing<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> oceanfront or lakefront houses outside of major cities.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-72694\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/jacksonville_map-1-e1623198867141.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"889\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/jacksonville_map-1-e1623198867141.png 1200w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/jacksonville_map-1-e1623198867141-270x300.png 270w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/jacksonville_map-1-e1623198867141-922x1024.png 922w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/jacksonville_map-1-e1623198867141-768x853.png 768w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/jacksonville_map-1-e1623198867141-1382x1536.png 1382w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/jacksonville_map-1-e1623198867141-1843x2048.png 1843w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cAmericans are buying the beach houses they always dreamed of because they have the flexibility to work from wherever they want,\u201d said Redfin Senior Economist <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/author\/sheharyarbokhari\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sheharyar Bokhari<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. \u201cWhile flood risk is <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/weather\/2020\/06\/29\/flood-risk-climate-change\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">intensifying<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in many parts of the country, it doesn\u2019t seem to be a deal breaker for a lot of homebuyers. This may be because buyers aren\u2019t aware they\u2019re purchasing a home in a flood plain or just don\u2019t view it as an immediate danger. Places with high flood risk are also often home to large concentrations of retirees, many of whom <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/climate-change-concerns-homebuyers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">don\u2019t<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> see climate change as a threat they need to worry about in their lifetime. Florida is one example.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Redfin and other real estate websites have started <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.prnewswire.com\/news-releases\/redfin-publishes-flood-risk-data-from-flood-factor-for-over-94-million-homes-301229663.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">sharing<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> property-level <a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/guides\/climate-change-housing-impact\/flood-risk\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">flood risk data<\/a> online to help house hunters determine if the homes they\u2019re interested in are located in flood plains and whether they should purchase flood insurance.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Places that are prone to flooding are also seeing stronger growth in <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">home<\/span><\/i> <i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">sales<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Sales of high-flood-risk homes rose 18.6% year over year in the first quarter\u2014about double the 9.6% gain in sales of low-flood-risk homes.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-72696\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/flood-risk-sales-chart-final.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"568\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/flood-risk-sales-chart-final.png 1308w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/flood-risk-sales-chart-final-300x213.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/flood-risk-sales-chart-final-1024x727.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/flood-risk-sales-chart-final-768x545.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/city\/8907\/FL\/Jacksonville\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Jacksonville, FL<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, homebuyers often inquire about flood risk, but it virtually never causes them to back out, said local Redfin real estate agent <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/real-estate-agents\/heather-kruayai\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Heather Kruayai<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Jacksonville, which is on the Atlantic Ocean and has two waterways running through it, has about 43,000 properties facing high flood risk, according to First Street Foundation\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/floodfactor.com\/city\/jacksonville-florida\/1235000_fsid\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Flood Factor<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cIf you buy a home on the water in Florida, flooding is just something that comes with the territory. Most buyers understand that,\u201d Kruayai said. \u201cA lot of out-of-state buyers have been moving here during the pandemic and purchasing waterfront properties, but there are also locals who are looking for space to spread out because the city has become so congested. Even if you wanted to negotiate a lower price due to flood risk, you\u2019d have a tough time because we\u2019re in such a hot seller\u2019s market.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kruayai continued: \u201cI just sold a $700,000 beachfront property to a Colorado couple who knew the house would likely flood if a hurricane hit. They bought flood insurance, but weren\u2019t concerned at all. Coming from a landlocked state, they were just excited to be on the beach, so the risk was worth it for them. They beat out several other bids by offering to pay up to $40,000 to cover a low appraisal if necessary.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While home prices and sales growth are both higher for high-risk homes, homes with low flood risk are more likely to fetch more than their owners ask for. In the first quarter, 47.2% of low-flood-risk homes went for more than they were listed for, compared with 37.4% of high-flood-risk homes. That 9.8-percentage-point gap is the largest on record. Redfin\u2019s records date back to 2013.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-72697\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/sold-above-list-flood-risk-final-chart-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"564\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/sold-above-list-flood-risk-final-chart-1.png 1314w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/sold-above-list-flood-risk-final-chart-1-300x212.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/sold-above-list-flood-risk-final-chart-1-1024x722.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/sold-above-list-flood-risk-final-chart-1-768x542.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Properties with low flood risk typically cost less than properties with high flood risk because they\u2019re less likely to be on the beach with waterfront views, Bokhari explained. Because low-risk properties are more affordable, they face more competition, which means buyers are more likely to bid up the prices.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Heightened awareness and concern around climate risks could also be a contributing factor, added Bokhari. It may be easy for an affluent buyer to look past flood risk when purchasing a waterfront home. But for a cost-conscious buyer, flood risk could raise red flags because it may mean the home won\u2019t retain its value or will require costly repairs in the future.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Research has shown that many Americans are working to guard their properties against the intensifying risks of climate change. One in five homeowners has invested in making their home more resilient to flooding, according to a recent Redfin <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/climate-change-impact-home-values-survey\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">survey<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. The same survey found that nearly <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/climate-change-migration-survey\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">half<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> of respondents who plan to move soon indicated that <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the increasing frequency or intensity of natural disasters played a role in their decision to relocate.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Methodology<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Flood-risk data came from First Street Foundation\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/floodfactor.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Flood Factor<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, which assigns six different flood-risk categories to properties across the U.S\u2014minimal, minor, moderate, major, severe or extreme. For the purposes of this report, \u201chigh-flood-risk\u201d properties are those that fall into the major, severe or extreme categories, while \u201clow-flood-risk\u201d properties are those that fall into the minimal, minor or moderate categories. We matched flood-risk data in the 50 most populous core-based statistical metropolitan areas (CBSAs) with MLS data, allowing us to report on metrics including home sales and prices by flood risk. Housing-market data is seasonally adjusted.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The typical home with high flood risk sold for $402,010 in the first quarter\u2014a 14% premium over the typical home with low flood risk. That\u2019s double the premium we saw before the pandemic. The median sale price of homes with high flood risk was $402,010 in the first quarter, compared with $353,783 for homes with [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13346,"featured_media":72699,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"default","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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