{"id":73827,"date":"2022-02-07T05:00:01","date_gmt":"2022-02-07T13:00:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/?p=73827"},"modified":"2022-10-31T12:47:39","modified_gmt":"2022-10-31T19:47:39","slug":"homebuyer-migration-2021-rising-home-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/homebuyer-migration-2021-rising-home-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"Home Prices Are Soaring in America\u2019s Most Popular Migration Destinations"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Phoenix, Dallas and Orlando were the most popular migration destinations of 2021.<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But with home prices up roughly 30% in certain Sun Belt hotspots, some locals are getting priced out and some relocators may have second thoughts.<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Nationwide, 31% of Redfin.com users looked to relocate last year, up from 26% before the pandemic.<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Phoenix was the most popular U.S. migration destination of 2021, followed by Dallas and Orlando. Redfin estimates <a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/city\/14240\/AZ\/Phoenix\/housing-market#migration\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the Phoenix metro gained roughly 85,000 residents<\/a> from other metro areas in 2021, far more than any other metro, while Dallas gained about 56,000 and Orlando gained about 53,000. Nine of the 10 most popular migration destinations of 2021 are in the Sun Belt, and half had a median home-sale price under the national median of roughly <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/home-sales-down-11-pct\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$383,000<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in December.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But while hundreds of thousands of Americans flocked to Sun Belt cities last year in search of affordability, housing costs are rapidly rising. That\u2019s largely <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">because <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">so many people\u2014often remote workers taking advantage of low mortgage rates\u2014are moving in from other areas. Nationwide, 31% of Redfin.com users looked to move to another metro in 2021, up from 25.6% in 2019, before the onset of the pandemic.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Home-price growth was well above the national growth rate (<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/home-sales-down-11-pct\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">15%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> year over year) for all 10 of the most popular destinations in December. Similarly, the average growth in rental payments for new leases far outpaced national growth (<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/redfin-rental-report-december-2021\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">14%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) in seven of the 10 most popular metros.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In Phoenix, for example, the typical home sold for $435,000 in December, 28% more than a year earlier, and the average monthly rental payment increased 26% year over year to $2,100. Prices of consumer goods and services are also <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/migration-inflation-analysis-q4-2021\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">increasing faster<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/us-housing-market#migration\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">popular migration destinations<\/a>, with prices in Phoenix up 8.4% year over year in the fourth quarter, the second-highest inflation rate in the U.S.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rapidly rising housing costs could slow the flow of Americans relocating to Phoenix and other Sun Belt cities. As the affordability gap narrows, some people may choose to stay in expensive coastal cities and others may <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/housing-market-predictions-2022\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">opt for northern cities<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> where homes are less expensive.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Still, home prices in Phoenix remain roughly half that of many metros in coastal California<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2014<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the typical Los Angeles home sold for $835,000 in December, for instance<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2014<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">so relocating to a state like Arizona, Texas or Florida remains financially advantageous for a lot of homebuyers and they will continue to attract relocators.<\/span><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\"><b>U.S. metro areas that gained the most residents in 2021<\/b><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Data in the net inflow column is for the full year 2021<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">All housing market stats are from December 2021<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><b>Metro area<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Net inflow<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Median home price\u00a0<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Median home price, YoY\u00a0<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Average monthly rent payment, new leases\u00a0<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Average monthly rent payment, new leases, YoY\u00a0<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Number of homes for sale, YoY\u00a0<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Phoenix, AZ<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">85,183<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$435,200<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">28%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$2,107<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">26%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-18.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dallas, TX<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">56,449<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$385,000<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">20.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$2,081<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">28.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-27.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Orlando, FL<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">52,621<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$356,000<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">22.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$2,050<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">28.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-29%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Atlanta, GA<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">37,970<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$350,000<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">22.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$2,016<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">12.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-27.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tampa, FL<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">37,440<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$338,000<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">24.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$2,076<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">28.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-8%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Austin, TX<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">32,184<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$482,100<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">30.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$2,290<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">39.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-6.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">7<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Las Vegas, NV<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">31,701<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$399,400<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">24.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$1,820<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">25.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-27.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">8<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Charlotte, NC<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">28,546<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$357,000<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">20.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$1,730<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">11.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-31.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">9<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Denver, CO<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">25,665<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$540,000<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">19.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$2,661<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">19%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-26.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">10<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">San Antonio, TX<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">23,909<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$308,600<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">18.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$1,386<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">11.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-17.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This report ranks migration destinations by net inflow, a measure of how many more people moved into a metro area than out. The estimates of net inflows are based on search data from Redfin.com and the U.S. Census Bureau.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cMoving across the country is now easier for many Americans, thanks to remote work. That cultural shift is here to stay,\u201d said Redfin Deputy Chief Economist <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/author\/taylormarr\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Taylor Marr<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. \u201cWhat\u2019s changing is the affordability of the most popular destinations. Some locals, particularly renters who aren\u2019t able to take advantage of rising home values, are getting priced out of places like Phoenix and Austin as the cost of housing and other goods and services go up. New construction tends to be robust in sprawling Sun Belt cities, and local governments ought to continue to prioritize building new homes to keep up with ongoing demand.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Out-of-towners with <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/q1-2021-housing-migration-trends-budget\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">big budgets<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> are helping fuel rapid price growth in the most popular destinations. In eight of the 10 most popular destinations (the two Florida metros are the exception), the average out-of-towner\u2019s budget was at least 15% higher than the average local\u2019s budget in the first quarter of 2021.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For instance, the average housing budget for migrants moving to Austin was $855,000, 32% higher than the average budget for local buyers. Austin, the sixth most popular destination, had the fastest price growth (30.3% YoY) and the fastest-rising rental payments (40%) of any metro in the U.S. in December.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cSellers are listing their homes at higher prices than ever before, partly because of huge demand in the last year from out-of-towners,\u201d said Austin Redfin agent <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/real-estate-agents\/barb-cooper\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Barb Cooper<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. \u201c I recently had a couple looking for a 2,000-square-foot home anywhere in the Austin area for under $300,000. I had to tell them it doesn\u2019t exist.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<h4>Methodology<\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The national numbers in this report are based on a sample of more than 2 million Redfin.com users who searched for homes across more than 100 metro areas in 2021, excluding searches unlikely to precede an actual relocation or home purchase. To be included in this dataset, a Redfin.com user must have viewed at least 10 homes in a particular metro area, and homes in that area must make up at least 80% of the user\u2019s searches.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To analyze the metro-level 2021 domestic migration trends, Redfin used a combination of Redfin.com search data and U.S. Census Bureau data to determine the most popular destinations of the year and the places people were most commonly looking to leave, and to estimate net inflows and outflows for the metros mentioned in this report.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>A note on Miami\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Although Miami ranked as one of the most popular U.S. migration destinations in many of our 2021 monthly migration reports, it\u2019s not listed here because this analysis uses a different methodology. The domestic migration statistics in this report are partly based on U.S. Census data, which includes renter households in addition to homebuyers and excludes international immigrants. Our monthly migration reports are based on Redfin.com user search data, which means they exclude renters and include second-home buyers, who may not actually be relocating.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Phoenix, Dallas and Orlando were the most popular migration destinations of 2021. But with home prices up roughly 30% in certain Sun Belt hotspots, some locals are getting priced out and some relocators may have second thoughts. Nationwide, 31% of Redfin.com users looked to relocate last year, up from 26% before the pandemic. Phoenix was [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13153,"featured_media":73828,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"default","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[42],"tags":[20,21],"coauthors":[124],"class_list":["post-73827","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-migration","tag-housing-affordability","tag-migration"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.7 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Home Prices Are Soaring in America\u2019s Most Popular Migration Destinations<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Phoenix, Dallas and Orlando were the most popular migration destinations of 2021. 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