{"id":74982,"date":"2022-09-09T01:00:30","date_gmt":"2022-09-09T08:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/?p=74982"},"modified":"2022-09-08T13:11:16","modified_gmt":"2022-09-08T20:11:16","slug":"homes-built-disaster-prone-areas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/homes-built-disaster-prone-areas\/","title":{"rendered":"America Is Increasingly Building Homes in Disaster-Prone Areas"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><strong><i>55% of homes being built today face fire risk, compared with 14% of homes built from 1900 to 1959, as suburbanization and a shift to the Sun Belt have driven builders into more vulnerable areas.<\/i><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><strong><i>Recently-built homes are also more likely than older homes to face drought, heat and flood risk, but the gap is biggest when it comes to fire.<\/i><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><strong><i>Overall, heat and storm are the most common risks, followed by fire, drought and flood.<\/i><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><strong><i>Adding dense housing and subsidizing public transport in low-risk cities is one solution. Regulators, lenders and insurers can also work to limit migration to risky areas, and builders can construct more resilient homes.<\/i><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">America is increasingly building homes in places endangered by natural disasters. More than half (55%) of homes built so far this decade face fire risk, while 45% face drought risk. By comparison, just 14% of homes built from 1900 to 1959 face fire risk and 37% face drought risk. New homes are also more likely than older homes to face heat and flood risk, but the gap is largest when it comes to fire and drought.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That\u2019s according to a Redfin analysis of climate-risk scores from <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/climatecheck.com\/?gclid=CjwKCAjw0a-SBhBkEiwApljU0rYDmC9OibfWg5Axj6a4sK7q7crlmdKz1bmDJPXhyNtt3l9I_PYh_xoCaZcQAvD_BwE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ClimateCheck<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and county records on single-family homes built since 1900 that still stand today. We define an at-risk home as one with a ClimateCheck score of moderate, high, very high or extreme. This analysis does not include homes with low or relatively low scores, which may also face some level of risk.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Overall, heat is the most common danger, with nearly 100% of homes constructed in the last two years at risk. Heat risk is <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/climatecheck.com\/our-methodologies\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">based<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> on the number of extremely hot days expected in the future. Next comes storm (78%), followed by fire (55%), drought (45%) and flood (25%). Storm is the only risk more likely to plague older homes. That\u2019s likely because many of the country\u2019s old homes are located in the storm-prone Northeast.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-74983 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/climate-chart-1-finla-1024x708.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"708\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/climate-chart-1-finla-1024x708.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/climate-chart-1-finla-300x207.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/climate-chart-1-finla-768x531.png 768w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/climate-chart-1-finla.png 1300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">View an interactive <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/public.tableau.com\/app\/profile\/redfin\/viz\/ClimateRiskNew\/NationalTrends?publish=yes\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tableau dashboard<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> with this data.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">From an environmental standpoint, America is building, rebuilding and subsidizing\u00a0 \u00a0 homes in the wrong places, according to economist <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/experts\/jenny-schuetz\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Jenny Schuetz<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, who recently published a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/book\/fixer-upper\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">book<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> on the topic.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201c<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The areas that are already built are at lower risk of wildfire because they\u2019re not surrounded by forest and trees\u2014they\u2019re surrounded by other buildings,\u201d Schuetz said by phone. But \u201c<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">i<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ncreasingly, we have to build new housing farther and farther out from downtown areas because the easy-to-use land has been built out and it\u2019s often difficult to add more housing in the urban core. \u2026 In the West, the wildfire-prone areas are in the undeveloped lands, and so the farther we push toward the undeveloped lands, the more houses are going to be at risk.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The push beyond cities intensified after World War II, when interstate highways made it easier for people to live in the suburbs and commute to work. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">By 2010, more than <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/oxfordre.com\/americanhistory\/view\/10.1093\/acrefore\/9780199329175.001.0001\/acrefore-9780199329175-e-64#acrefore-9780199329175-e-64-div1-1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">half<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> of Americans lived in the suburbs, up from 37% in 1970 and 13% in 1940.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Suburbia got another <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/blog\/the-avenue\/2022\/04\/14\/new-census-data-shows-a-huge-spike-in-movement-out-of-big-metro-areas-during-the-pandemic\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">boost<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> during the coronavirus pandemic as builders <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/features\/2022-01-05\/a-supernova-of-suburban-sprawl-fueled-by-covid?sref=fRZXrT1O\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">responded<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to shifting homebuyer preferences. Remote work and surging housing prices prompted homebuyers to leave high-cost cities for far-flung <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rismedia.com\/2021\/09\/08\/suburban-exurban-markets-q2-home-building-surge\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">suburbs<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and Sun Belt states that often have larger, less expensive houses and more land on which to build. So far this year, the states with the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/construction\/bps\/data_visualizations\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">most<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> building permits are Texas, Florida, California, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Colorado\u2014all of which face significant risk from fire, drought, heat and\/or flooding. Nationwide, 39.5% of single-family homes built so far this decade are located in the 10 most fire-prone states, compared with 24.3% of homes built from 1900 to 1959.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-74986 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/property_fire_risk_map_denver_final-3-1024x731.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"731\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/property_fire_risk_map_denver_final-3-1024x731.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/property_fire_risk_map_denver_final-3-300x214.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/property_fire_risk_map_denver_final-3-768x549.png 768w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/property_fire_risk_map_denver_final-3-1536x1097.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/property_fire_risk_map_denver_final-3-2048x1463.png 2048w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/property_fire_risk_map_denver_final-3.png 1680w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A 2021 Redfin <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/climate-migration-real-estate-2021\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">analysis<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> found that more people have been moving into than out of the U.S. counties with the largest share of homes at high risk of natural disasters. Many of these areas are attracting homebuyers because they\u2019re relatively affordable, have lower property taxes, more housing options or access to nature. Some buyers also just aren\u2019t aware of the risks. That\u2019s partly due to a lack of informational resources, but also because people don\u2019t often see the full cost of disaster when it does occur.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cIt\u2019s obviously traumatic if your house burns down in a wildfire or gets hit by a hurricane, but financially, homeowners often get bailed out,\u201d Schuetz said. \u201cIf you buy a house, you don\u2019t pay the full amount in cash. You take out a mortgage, so some of the obligation goes to the lender, and you\u2019re required to have homeowner\u2019s insurance that covers you in case of disaster. \u2026<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Nobody has ownership of this problem.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Redfin.com <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.prnewswire.com\/news-releases\/redfin-publishes-data-from-climatecheck-to-help-consumers-understand-the-risk-for-fire-heat-drought-and-storms-over-a-30-year-mortgage-301346236.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">publishes<\/span><\/a> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">climate-risk data for nearly every U.S. home, with the exception of rentals, to help house hunters make more informed decisions. As buyers learn more about climate dangers, they\u2019ll be less inclined to buy in high-risk areas, which will make it challenging for existing owners to sell, Schuetz said. That could ultimately cause home values in some risky places to weaken.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One solution is to encourage people to live in less-risky cities by adding more dense housing and subsidizing public transportation. In many areas, low-density zoning rules limit housing growth close to downto<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">wns, driving builders out to car-dependent, high-risk suburbs, Schuetz wrote in her 2022 book \u201c<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/book\/fixer-upper\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fixer-Upper: How to Repair America\u2019s Broken Housing Systems<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On a federal level, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could charge higher rates or refuse to securitize mortgages on risky homes, which might disincentivize lenders from writing loans in endangered areas, she added. That option, however, could be politically unpopular and has the potential to keep homeownership out of reach for low-income and minority buyers in high-risk areas. The government could also <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">reexamine tax subsidies like the mortgage-interest deduction, which encourage affluent Americans to purchase pricey homes with big mortgages that are often in the suburbs. Additionally, federal disaster recovery programs could pay more people to rebuild in less-risky locations rather than the same locations. Insurers could also opt to stop issuing policies in dangerous areas, and homeowners and builders in those areas could increase the use of <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2021\/11\/12\/realestate\/disaster-proof-housing.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">disaster-resistant<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> construction materials.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s worth noting that while new homes are increasingly being built in disaster-prone areas, most of America\u2019s housing stock is not new. Two-thirds of U.S. homes were built before 1990, while about 4% were built in 2014 or later, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/data.census.gov\/cedsci\/table?tid=ACSDP5Y2020.DP04\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">according<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to U.S. Census Bureau estimates.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New Homes Are More Likely to Face Fire Risk as Builders Target Flammable Areas<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The share of homes constructed in fire-prone areas has been steadily increasing since the 1960s as builders have expanded beyond dense cities and into areas with more flammable vegetation. More than half (55%) of homes built so far this decade face fire risk, compared with 19% of homes built in the 1960s and 8% of homes built from 1900 to 1910. <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-74988 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/fire-chart-final-1-1024x708.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"708\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/fire-chart-final-1-1024x708.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/fire-chart-final-1-300x207.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/fire-chart-final-1-768x531.png 768w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/fire-chart-final-1.png 1300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cThere\u2019s no room left to build in Salt Lake City, so developers have been moving into the surrounding mountains, which are more prone to wildfires and drought. Record-breaking temperatures and a lack of snow have turned these areas into tinder boxes,\u201d said local Redfin Market Manager <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/real-estate-agents\/ryan-aycock\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ryan Aycock<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. \u201cHerriman\u2014a city just south of Salt Lake City that\u2019s right up against the mountains\u2014is attracting tons of builders. Fires were never that big of an issue when Herriman was mostly vacant land, but now scores of people are moving into harm\u2019s way.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/id\/wbna39265584\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">fire<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in 2010 burned more than 4,000 acres and destroyed several homes in the Herriman area after the National Guard conducted a machine-gun training despite fire and wind warnings. Nearly 40% of all Utah homes (roughly $220 billion worth) face high fire risk\u2014a larger share than any other Western state Redfin <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wildfire-real-estate-risk-2021\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">analyzed<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in 2021.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Wildland Urban Interface\u2014parts of the country where houses are close to wildland vegetation (AKA fire risk)\u2014is the fastest growing land-use type in America, with roughly one-third of homes falling in its boundaries. That\u2019s according to a 2018<\/span> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/full\/10.1073\/pnas.1718850115\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">study<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> led by the University of Wisconsin\u2013Madison\u2019s Volker C. Radeloff, who found that the number of new houses in the WUI grew by 41% to 43.4 million from 1990 to 2010. California and Texas have the greatest <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.usfa.fema.gov\/wui\/what-is-the-wui.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">number<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> of homes in the WUI.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Not only is America increasingly building homes in fire-prone areas\u2014fires are also increasing in intensity. The three most destructive wildfire years, in terms of acreage burned, have all occurred in the last decade, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nifc.gov\/fire-information\/statistics\/wildfires\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">according<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to the National Interagency Fire Center.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>In Colorado and Arizona, New Homes Are Much More Likely to Face Fire Risk\u00a0<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In Colorado, 90% of homes built so far this decade face fire risk, compared with just 23% of those built from 1900 to 1959. That 66-percentage-point gap is the largest among the states Redfin analyzed. Next comes Arizona (97% vs 38%), followed by Utah (85% vs 28%), California (91% vs 39%) and Florida (58% vs 6%).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A significant portion of America\u2019s homebuilding is happening in Florida, California, Arizona and Colorado. Florida has doled out about <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/construction\/bps\/data_visualizations\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">133,000<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> building permits so far this year, more than every state but Texas. California ranks third with 72,000 permits, while Arizona and Colorado rank sixth and seventh, at 40,000 and 33,000, respectively. That\u2019s in part because these states continue to grow. Florida, Arizona and Utah all rank in the top 10 when it comes to percentage growth in population from 2020 to 2021, according to Census <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/newsroom\/press-releases\/2021\/2021-population-estimates.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">estimates<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Remote work and surging home prices prompted many Americans to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/q2-2022-housing-migration-trends\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">seek out<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> sunny, relatively affordable locale<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">s like Miami and Phoenix.<\/span><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"><b>Top states where new homes are more likely to face fire risk than old homes<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><b>Homes built from 2020-2022: share with fire risk<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Homes built from 1900-1959: share with fire risk<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Percentage-point difference<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Colorado<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">89.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">23.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">66.2 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Arizona<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">96.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">37.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">59.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Utah<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">84.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">27.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">57.3 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">California<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">91.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">39.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">52.1 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Florida<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">57.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">51.3 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-75008 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Distribution-of-property-level-fire-risk-scores-in-CO-1024x614.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"614\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Distribution-of-property-level-fire-risk-scores-in-CO-1024x614.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Distribution-of-property-level-fire-risk-scores-in-CO-300x180.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Distribution-of-property-level-fire-risk-scores-in-CO-768x461.png 768w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Distribution-of-property-level-fire-risk-scores-in-CO-1536x922.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Distribution-of-property-level-fire-risk-scores-in-CO-2048x1229.png 2048w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Distribution-of-property-level-fire-risk-scores-in-CO.png 2000w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Scroll down to the bottom of this report to view the share of homes in your state facing fire and drought risk.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>Arizona and Oklahoma Have the Greatest Share of New Homes With Fire Risk<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In Arizona, nearly all homes (97%) built so far this decade face fire risk\u2014a higher share than any other state Redin analyzed. Next comes Oklahoma (96%), Arkansas (94%), Wyoming (93%) and Montana (93%). There are six states\u2014Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island and Washington, D.C.\u2014where no homes built since the start of 2020 are at risk.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align: left;\" colspan=\"4\"><b>States with highest and lowest share of new homes facing fire risk<\/b><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><b>Homes built from 2020-2022: share with fire risk<\/b><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><b>Homes built from 2020-2022: share with fire risk<\/b><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Arizona<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">96.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Connecticut<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oklahoma<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">95.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Maine<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Arkansas<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">94.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Massachusetts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wyoming<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">93.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pennsylvania<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Montana<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">92.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rhode Island, Washington, D.C.<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Please note that 0% in the table above indicates there are no properties with moderate or high risk; it\u2019s still possible properties face low risk.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New Homes More Likely to Face Drought Risk as Builders Expand in the Sun Belt<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The share of homes constructed in drought-prone areas has also been rising. Just under half (45%) of homes built so far this decade face drought risk, compared with 39% of homes built in the 1960s and 28% of homes built from 1900 to 1910.<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-74989 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/drought-chart-final-1024x707.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"707\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/drought-chart-final-1024x707.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/drought-chart-final-300x207.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/drought-chart-final-768x530.png 768w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/drought-chart-final.png 1302w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One reason newer homes are more likely to face drought risk is they\u2019re likely to be located in <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/droughtmonitor.unl.edu\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">drought-prone<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> states like Texas, California and Arizona. And within those drought-prone states, homes are increasingly being built in neighborhoods that aren\u2019t equipped to handle drought.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cHomebuilding has exploded in Arizona over the last few years as our population has soared. Builders are going to the more rural, drought-prone areas because that\u2019s where there\u2019s available land,\u201d said Phoenix Redfin real estate agent <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/real-estate-agents\/heather-mahmood-corley\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Heather Mahmood-Corley<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. \u201cIn Casa Grande\u2014a city just south of Phoenix\u2014builders are selling homes despite warnings that there <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.azcentral.com\/story\/news\/local\/arizona-water\/2017\/10\/10\/pinal-county-developers-struggle-water-new-housing\/740369001\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">may not be<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> enough water to go around. In the nearby San Tan Valley, one developer owns a lot of the wells, so they\u2019re able to build unrestricted and sell water rights to other developers.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mahmood-Corley continued: \u201cBuilders have done a pretty good job warning buyers about the lack of water, but many buyers don\u2019t think much of it. Oftentimes, they\u2019re more focused on finding an affordable place to live.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-75007 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/property_drought_risk_phoneix_map-1-1024x512.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"512\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/property_drought_risk_phoneix_map-1-1024x512.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/property_drought_risk_phoneix_map-1-300x150.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/property_drought_risk_phoneix_map-1-768x384.png 768w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/property_drought_risk_phoneix_map-1-1536x768.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/property_drought_risk_phoneix_map-1-2048x1024.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cWe have to build additional water infrastructure when we build at the outskirts of cities,\u201d Schuetz said. \u201cImagine that you build a new subdivision in Arizona; you have to put in things like water lines and sewer lines and roads because they don&#8217;t exist in the new subdivision, and of course, all of that requires then using additional water. And so we\u2019re using up the water supply in places like the West because we keep building outside of existing areas rather than adding homes in existing cities.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Roughly two-thirds of the West experienced extreme drought last summer, and many cities are now grappling with it again, alongside historic heatwaves. The period of 2000 to 2021 was <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the drie<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">st <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">22-year period since 800 A.D., <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2022\/02\/14\/climate\/western-drought-megadrought.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">scientists said<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>In Arizona and Pennsylvania, New Homes Are Much More Likely to Face Drought Risk<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In Arizona, 75% of homes built this decade face drought risk, compared with 41% of those built from 1900 to 1959. That 34-percentage-point gap is the largest of any state Redfin analyzed. Next comes Pennsylvania (56% vs 28%), Nevada (86% vs 61%), Missouri (29% vs 6%) and Idaho (75% vs 54%).<\/span><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"><b>Top states where new homes are more likely to face drought risk than old homes<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><b>Homes built from 2022-2022: share with drought risk<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Homes built from 1900-1959: share with drought risk<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Percentage-point difference<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Arizona<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">75.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">41.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">34.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pennsylvania<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">56.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">27.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">28.8 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Nevada<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">85.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">61.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">24.5 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Missouri<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">28.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">23.1 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Idaho<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">75.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">54.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">21.1 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h4><b>In Colorado, 100% of New Homes Face Drought Risk<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In Colorado, 100% of homes built this decade face drought risk\u2014the highest share among the states Redfin analyzed. It\u2019s followed by Wyoming (98%), Utah (93%), Nevada (86%) and North Carolina (79%). <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There are just three states where no homes built since the beginning of 2020 face drought risk: Maine, North Dakota and Washington, D.C. In Kansas and South Dakota, less than 1% of homes built since the start of 2020 face drought risk.<\/span><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"><b>States with highest and lowest share of new homes facing drought risk<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>Homes built from 2020-2022: share with drought risk<\/b><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><b>Homes built from 2020-2022: share with drought risk<\/b><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Colorado<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">100.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Maine<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wyoming<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">97.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">North Dakota<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Utah<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">92.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Washington, D.C.<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Nevada<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">85.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kansas<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">North Carolina<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">79.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">South Dakota<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Please note that 0% in the table above indicates there are no properties with <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">moderate or high<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> risk; it\u2019s still possible properties face low risk.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">State-Level Summary: 2020-2022 vs 1900-1959<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The table below includes the share of homes built from 2020 to 2022 and the share built from 1900 to 1959 that currently face risk from fire and drought. It also includes the change in share (in percentage points) between the two periods. Some figures may appear imprecise due to rounding.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><b>State<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Homes built 2020-2022: Share with fire risk<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Homes built 1900-1959: Share with fire risk<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Difference in share of homes with fire risk between two periods<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Homes built 2020-2022: Share with drought risk<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Homes built 1900-1959: Share with drought risk<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Difference in share of homes with drought risk between two periods<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Alabama<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-1.6 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">28.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">12.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">15.4 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Arizona<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">96.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">37.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">59.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">75.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">41.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">34.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Arkansas<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">94.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">49.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">44.7 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">13.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">8.3 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">California<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">91.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">39.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">52.1 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">43.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">87.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-43.9 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Colorado<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">89.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">23.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">66.2 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">100.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">99.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.7 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Connecticut<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">39.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">44.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-5.4 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Delaware<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.7 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">51.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">72.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-21.3 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Florida<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">57.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">51.3 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4.7 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Georgia<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.4 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">57.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">41.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">16.6 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Idaho<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">89.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">61.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">27.3 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">75.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">54.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">21.1 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Illinois<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.4 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">22.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">67.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-45.3 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Indiana<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-0.7 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">67.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">52.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">15.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Iowa<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.3 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-1.8 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kansas<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">79.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">31.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">48.4 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-0.8 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Maine<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Maryland<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.5 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">34.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">53.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-19.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Massachusetts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">17.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">13.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4.2 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Minnesota<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">11.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6.4 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">14.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">8.3 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Missouri<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">59.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">11.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">48.4 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">28.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">23.1 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Montana<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">92.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">57.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">35.4 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">27.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">42.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-14.8 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Nebraska<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">40.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">23.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">17.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">27.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-21.3 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Nevada<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">85.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">42.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">42.9 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">85.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">61.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">24.5 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New Hampshire<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.1 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">10.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">7.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.2 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New Jersey<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4.3 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">55.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">61.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-6.7 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New York<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">11.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">11.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.5 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">North Carolina<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.4 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">79.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">66.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">13.3 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">North Dakota<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">57.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">24.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">33.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-0.3 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ohio<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.1 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">14.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">9.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5.3 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oklahoma<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">95.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">66.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">29.8 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.9 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oregon<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">43.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">20.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">23.3 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">37.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">16.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">20.8 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pennsylvania<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">56.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">27.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">28.8 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rhode Island<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">8.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">10.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-2.1 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">South Carolina<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">32.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">28.9 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">60.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">52.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">7.6 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">South Dakota<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">82.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">44.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">38.7 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">17.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-17.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tennessee<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">10.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">10.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.1 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">14.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-8.4 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Texas<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">90.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">53.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">36.8 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">60.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">55.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5.4 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Utah<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">84.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">27.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">57.3 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">92.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">95.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-2.7 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Virginia<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.3 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">11.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">10.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.9 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Washington<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">15.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">13.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.9 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">17.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">26.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-8.6 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Washington, D.C.<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wyoming<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">93.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">46.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">46.5 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">97.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">97.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.1 ppts<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2><\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"viz1662609138274\" class=\"tableauPlaceholder\" style=\"position: relative;\"><noscript><a href='#'><img alt=' ' src='https:&#47;&#47;public.tableau.com&#47;static&#47;images&#47;Cl&#47;ClimateRiskNew&#47;NationalTrends&#47;1_rss.png' style='border: none' \/><\/a><\/noscript><object class=\"tableauViz\" style=\"display: none;\" width=\"300\" height=\"150\"><param name=\"host_url\" value=\"https%3A%2F%2Fpublic.tableau.com%2F\" \/><param name=\"embed_code_version\" value=\"3\" \/><param name=\"site_root\" value=\"\" \/><param name=\"name\" value=\"ClimateRiskNew\/NationalTrends\" \/><param name=\"tabs\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"toolbar\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"static_image\" value=\"https:\/\/public.tableau.com\/static\/images\/Cl\/ClimateRiskNew\/NationalTrends\/1.png\" \/><param name=\"animate_transition\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_static_image\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_spinner\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_overlay\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_count\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"language\" value=\"en-US\" \/><param name=\"filter\" value=\"publish=yes\" \/><\/object><\/div>\n<p><script type='text\/javascript'>                    var divElement = document.getElementById('viz1662609138274');                    var vizElement = divElement.getElementsByTagName('object')[0];                    if ( divElement.offsetWidth > 800 ) { vizElement.style.width='1000px';vizElement.style.height='850px';} else if ( divElement.offsetWidth > 500 ) { vizElement.style.width='1000px';vizElement.style.height='850px';} else { vizElement.style.width='100%';vizElement.style.height='900px';}                     var scriptElement = document.createElement('script');                    scriptElement.src = 'https:\/\/public.tableau.com\/javascripts\/api\/viz_v1.js';                    vizElement.parentNode.insertBefore(scriptElement, vizElement);                <\/script><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Methodology<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Climate-risk data for drought, fire, flood, heat, and storm comes from <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/climatecheck.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ClimateCheck<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, which assigns six different climate-risk categories to properties across the U.S. (excluding Hawaii and Alaska)\u2014relatively low, low, moderate, high, very high and extreme. For this report, an at-risk property is one that falls into the moderate, high, very high or extreme category for a given climate risk (i.e., a risk score greater than 34). The climate-risk data in this report is as of June 1, 2022 and utilizes the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.air-worldwide.com\/blog\/posts\/2019\/11\/climate-change-rcps-and-the-emissions-gap\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">RCP 4.5<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> emission scenario for assessing future risk. We used county property records to determine when homes were built. The following states were excluded from this analysis due to insufficient county property records: Wisconsin, Louisiana, Vermont, Michigan, Kentucky and New Mexico. We also excluded Missouri and West Virginia due to insufficient property-level climate risk scores.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>55% of homes being built today face fire risk, compared with 14% of homes built from 1900 to 1959, as suburbanization and a shift to the Sun Belt have driven builders into more vulnerable areas. Recently-built homes are also more likely than older homes to face drought, heat and flood risk, but the gap is [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13346,"featured_media":74991,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"default","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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