{"id":75273,"date":"2022-10-20T10:42:09","date_gmt":"2022-10-20T17:42:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/?p=75273"},"modified":"2022-10-26T14:45:39","modified_gmt":"2022-10-26T21:45:39","slug":"housing-market-update-days-on-market-doubles-sales-drop","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/housing-market-update-days-on-market-doubles-sales-drop\/","title":{"rendered":"Housing Market Update: Sellers\u2019 Time on Market Doubles From Spring as Buyers Wait for Prices and\/or Rates to Come Down"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Home sales continue to decline and mortgage applications are at their lowest level in 25 years.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">U.S. housing market activity is continuing to slow down as mortgage rates sit at a 20-year high. Pending home sales and new listings both saw their biggest year-over-year drops since the start of the pandemic, dipping to levels roughly on par with April 2020. Mortgage applications fell to their <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mba.org\/news-and-research\/newsroom\/news\/2022\/10\/19\/mortgage-applications-decrease-in-latest-mba-weekly-survey\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">lowest level<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in 25 years, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sales are dropping more than listings. Sellers are still catching on to the prices buyers who <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">are <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">in the market are willing and able to pay in the face of near-7% mortgage rates. Homes are taking twice as long to sell as they did in the spring. A record share of sellers are dropping their asking price and the typical home is selling for 1% less than its final asking price\u2013the biggest discount since August 2020.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cWith rates <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/pmms\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">sitting above 6.5%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for three weeks and no indication they\u2019ll come down before the end of the year, people are only buying and selling homes if they need to,\u201d said Redfin Economics Research Lead Chen Zhao. \u201cProspective buyers are waiting for prices and\/or mortgage rates to come down and sellers want to squeeze as much money out of their sale as possible. Homes will eventually sell, but it may take a few months, and sellers need to meet buyers where they are. That means lower prices and negotiations, including things like giving buyers a credit to buy down their mortgage rate and paying for home repairs. Prospective sellers may also consider renting out their home for a few months until demand recovers.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cBuyers should keep similar things in mind when they\u2019re doing the math of which homes they can afford,\u201d Zhao continued. \u201cTry negotiating down the sale price; now\u2019s the time to make what would have been considered a lowball offer six months ago. Ask for concessions and repairs to make up for high mortgage rates.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Leading indicators of homebuying activity:<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For the week ending October 20, <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/pmms\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">30-year mortgage rates rose to 6.94%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, up slightly from last week and a 20-year high. <\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fewer people <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/trends.google.com\/trends\/explore?date=2021-01-01%202022-09-25&amp;q=homes%20for%20sale#cmpt=q\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">searched for \u201chomes for sale\u201d on Google<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Searches during the week ending October 15 were down 32% from a year earlier.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The seasonally adjusted Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index\u2014a measure of requests for home tours and other home-buying services from Redfin agents\u2014was down 31% year over year to its lowest level since May 2020.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Touring activity as of October 16 was down 25% from the start of the year, compared to an 8% increase at the same time last year, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.showingtime.com\/impact-of-coronavirus\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">according to home tour technology company ShowingTime<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mortgage purchase applications were<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mba.org\/news-and-research\/newsroom\/news\/2022\/10\/19\/mortgage-applications-decrease-in-latest-mba-weekly-survey\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> down 4.5%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> week over week (seasonally adjusted) to their lowest level since 1997 during the week ending October 14. They were down 38% from a year earlier.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Key housing market takeaways for 400+ U.S. metro areas:<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Unless otherwise noted, the data in this report covers the <\/span><b>four-week period ending October 16<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Redfin\u2019s weekly housing market data goes back through 2015.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Data based on homes listed and\/or sold during the period:<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The median home sale price was $367,083, up 6% year over year and on par with the previous week.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Home-sale prices fell from a year earlier in three U.S. metro areas: Prices declined 4% year over year in Oakland, 2% in San Francisco and 1% in Philadelphia.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The monthly mortgage payment on the median asking price home climbed to a near-record high of $2,552 at the current 6.94% mortgage rate, up 50% from $1,704 a year earlier, when mortgage rates were 3.01% and up from a recent low of $2,203 during the four-week period ending August 14.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The median asking price of newly listed homes increased 8% year over year to $378,225.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pending home sales were down 32% year over year, the largest decline since April 2020.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New listings of homes for sale were down 19% from a year earlier, the biggest decline since May 2020.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Active listings (the number of homes listed for sale at any point during the period) fell 1% from the prior four-week period. On a year-over-year basis, they rose 5%.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Months of supply\u2014a measure of the balance between supply and demand, calculated by dividing the number of active listings by closed sales\u2014rose to 3.1 months. That marks the highest level since June 2020.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">35% of homes that went under contract had an accepted offer within the first two weeks on the market, little changed from the prior four-week period but down from 39% a year earlier.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">23% of homes that went under contract had an accepted offer within one week of hitting the market, little changed from the prior four-week period but down from 28% a year earlier.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Homes that sold were on the market for a median of 34 days, up more than a full week from 26 days a year earlier and the record low of 17 days set in May and early June. Typical time on market has steadily increased since June.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">30% of homes sold above final list price, down from 44% a year earlier and the lowest level since August 2020.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On average, a record high 7.9% of homes for sale each week had a price drop, up from 3.9% a year earlier.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The average sale-to-final-list price ratio, which measures how close homes are selling to their asking prices, fell to 98.9% from 100.5% a year earlier. That\u2019s the lowest level since August 2020.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Refer to our <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/data-center-metrics-definitions\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">metrics definition page<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for explanations of all the metrics used in this report.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-75274 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/median-sale-price-1019.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1074\" height=\"796\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/median-sale-price-1019.png 1074w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/median-sale-price-1019-300x222.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/median-sale-price-1019-1024x759.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/median-sale-price-1019-768x569.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1074px) 100vw, 1074px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-75292 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/mortgage-payments-1020.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1069\" height=\"796\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/mortgage-payments-1020.png 1069w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/mortgage-payments-1020-300x223.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/mortgage-payments-1020-1024x762.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/mortgage-payments-1020-768x572.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1069px) 100vw, 1069px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-75286 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/median-asking-price-1019.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1070\" height=\"798\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/median-asking-price-1019.png 1070w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/median-asking-price-1019-300x224.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/median-asking-price-1019-1024x764.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/median-asking-price-1019-768x573.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1070px) 100vw, 1070px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-75285 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/pending-sales-1019.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1070\" height=\"798\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/pending-sales-1019.png 1070w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/pending-sales-1019-300x224.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/pending-sales-1019-1024x764.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/pending-sales-1019-768x573.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1070px) 100vw, 1070px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-75284 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/new-listings-1019.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1073\" height=\"794\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/new-listings-1019.png 1073w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/new-listings-1019-300x222.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/new-listings-1019-1024x758.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/new-listings-1019-768x568.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1073px) 100vw, 1073px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-75283 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/active-listings-1019.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1073\" height=\"794\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/active-listings-1019.png 1073w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/active-listings-1019-300x222.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/active-listings-1019-1024x758.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/active-listings-1019-768x568.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1073px) 100vw, 1073px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-75282 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/mos-1019.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1071\" height=\"799\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/mos-1019.png 1071w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/mos-1019-300x224.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/mos-1019-1024x764.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/mos-1019-768x573.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1071px) 100vw, 1071px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-75281 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/two-weeks-1019.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1074\" height=\"798\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/two-weeks-1019.png 1074w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/two-weeks-1019-300x223.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/two-weeks-1019-1024x761.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/two-weeks-1019-768x571.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1074px) 100vw, 1074px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-75280 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/one-week-1019.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1072\" height=\"800\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/one-week-1019.png 1072w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/one-week-1019-300x224.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/one-week-1019-1024x764.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/one-week-1019-768x573.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1072px) 100vw, 1072px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-75287 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/dom-1017.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"956\" height=\"705\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/dom-1017.png 956w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/dom-1017-300x221.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/dom-1017-768x566.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 956px) 100vw, 956px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-75279 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/sold-above-list-1019.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1070\" height=\"795\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/sold-above-list-1019.png 1070w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/sold-above-list-1019-300x223.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/sold-above-list-1019-1024x761.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/sold-above-list-1019-768x571.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1070px) 100vw, 1070px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-75288 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/price-drops-1017.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"955\" height=\"708\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/price-drops-1017.png 955w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/price-drops-1017-300x222.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/price-drops-1017-768x569.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 955px) 100vw, 955px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-75289 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/sale-to-list-1017.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"954\" height=\"712\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/sale-to-list-1017.png 954w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/sale-to-list-1017-300x224.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/sale-to-list-1017-768x573.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 954px) 100vw, 954px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-75278 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/demand-index-1019.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1070\" height=\"800\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/demand-index-1019.png 1070w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/demand-index-1019-300x224.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/demand-index-1019-1024x766.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/demand-index-1019-768x574.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1070px) 100vw, 1070px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Home sales continue to decline and mortgage applications are at their lowest level in 25 years.\u00a0 U.S. housing market activity is continuing to slow down as mortgage rates sit at a 20-year high. Pending home sales and new listings both saw their biggest year-over-year drops since the start of the pandemic, dipping to levels roughly [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13153,"featured_media":75290,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"default","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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