{"id":76328,"date":"2023-06-08T05:00:35","date_gmt":"2023-06-08T12:00:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/?p=76328"},"modified":"2023-06-07T16:49:30","modified_gmt":"2023-06-07T23:49:30","slug":"housing-market-update-new-listings-lowest-level-on-record","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/housing-market-update-new-listings-lowest-level-on-record\/","title":{"rendered":"Housing Market Update: Supply Shortage Worsens, Propping Up Prices,  As Near-7% Mortgage Rates Handcuff Homeowners"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New listings have hit their lowest level of any early June on record, limiting home sales and keeping prices afloat. But many buyers are still touring homes, indicating that we\u2019ll see pent-up demand when mortgage rates fall and supply improves. <\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New listings of homes for sale fell 25% from a year earlier during the four weeks ending June 4 to their lowest level of any early June on record. The continued lack of new listings has pushed the <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">total <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">number of homes on the market down 5% year over year to <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">its <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">lowest level on record for early June.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Elevated mortgage rates\u2013the daily average was <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mortgagenewsdaily.com\/mortgage-rates\/30-year-fixed\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6.94%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> on June 7, near its highest level in two decades\u2013are driving the inventory shortage. The vast majority of homeowners have a mortgage rate <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2023\/03\/02\/housing-market-lock-in-effect-3-percent-mortgage-rates-real-estate-home-buyers-sellers\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">below 6%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, discouraging them from listing their home and giving up their relatively low rate.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Limited inventory is keeping national home-price declines relatively modest, with the typical U.S. home price down 1.6% year over year. That\u2019s the smallest dip in three months and half the size of April\u2019s 3.2% drop, which was the biggest in at least a decade. Home prices are still increasing in some parts of the country. The median U.S. <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">asking <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">price is unchanged from a year ago after several weeks of declines, indicating that sellers in at least some metro areas are noticing that they can command favorable prices.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In addition to propping up prices, the scarcity of listings is limiting purchases; pending home sales are down 17%, continuing a yearlong streak of double-digit drops. But early-stage homebuying demand continues to hold up, with Redfin\u2019s Homebuyer Demand Index\u2013a measure of requests for tours and other services from Redfin agents\u2013near its highest level in a year. That indicates that would-be buyers are out there and may make an offer when mortgage rates decline and\/or more homes are listed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cHomes priced under $500,000 are flying off the market because buyers in that price range don\u2019t have many options,\u201d said <a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/city\/16409\/CA\/Sacramento\">Sacramento<\/a> Redfin Premier agent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/real-estate-agents\/david-m-orr\">David Orr<\/a>. \u201cI&#8217;ve been working with one first-time homebuyer for about a year, and she\u2019s adjusted her search as rates have risen. Now that mortgage rates are close to 7%, she\u2019s looking at lower-priced, smaller homes. But the problem we\u2019re facing now is competition: In that lower price range, it takes many misses before you get a hit. She just made an offer nearly $30,000 above asking price for a home listed at $429,000, but she lost out because it had four other offers. I\u2019m advising buyers to get their loan pre-approved and look at homes under budget so they\u2019re prepared to go above asking price.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Leading indicators of homebuying activity:<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mortgagenewsdaily.com\/mortgage-rates\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6.94%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> on June 7,\u00a0 down from a seven-month high of 7.14% two weeks earlier but up from about 6.6% a month earlier. For the week ending June 1, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/pmms\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6.79%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, up from 6.57% the week before\u2013that\u2019s the biggest weekly increase since October. It\u2019s also the highest rate since November.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mortgage-purchase applications during the week ending June 2 <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mba.org\/news-and-research\/newsroom\/news\/2023\/06\/07\/mortgage-applications-decrease-in-latest-mba-weekly-survey\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">decreased 2%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> from a week earlier, seasonally adjusted. Purchase applications were down 27% from a year earlier.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The seasonally adjusted Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index\u2013a measure of requests for home tours and other homebuying services from Redfin agents\u2013was up slightly from a week earlier during the week ending June 4. It was up 3% from a year earlier, marking just the second annual increase in over a year (the first was a week earlier). Demand was dropping at this time in 2022 as mortgage rates rose.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Google searches for \u201c<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/trends.google.com\/trends\/explore?date=today%205-y&amp;q=homes%20for%20sale#cmpt=q\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">homes for sale<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201d were up 7% from a month earlier during the week ending June 3, and essentially flat from a year earlier.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Touring activity as of June 4 was up 16% from the start of the year, compared with a 2% <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">decline<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> at the same time last year, according to home tour technology company <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.showingtime.com\/impact-of-coronavirus\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ShowingTime<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Tours declined during this time last year as mortgage rates shot up.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Key housing market takeaways for 400+ U.S. metro areas:<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Unless otherwise noted, the data in this report covers the <\/span><b>four-week period ending June 4<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Redfin\u2019s weekly housing market data goes back through 2015.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Data based on homes listed and\/or sold during the period:<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For bullets that include metro-level breakdowns, Redfin analyzed the 50 most populous U.S. metros. Select metros may be excluded from time to time to ensure data accuracy.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The median home sale price was $379,463, down 1.6% from a year earlier, the smallest decline in three months. Price declines have been shrinking for the last six weeks.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Home-sale prices declined in 29 metros, with the biggest drops in Austin, TX (-13.4% YoY), Oakland, CA (-11.9%), Las Vegas (-9%), San Francisco (-8.7%) and Phoenix (-7.9%).\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sale prices <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">increased <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">most in Cincinnati (9.2%), Miami (8%), Milwaukee (8%), Fort Lauderdale, FL (5.8%) and Virginia Beach, VA (4.8%).\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The median asking price of newly listed homes was $397,475, unchanged from a year earlier.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The monthly mortgage payment on the median-asking-price home hit a new record high of $2,651 at a 6.79% mortgage rate, the average for the week ending June 1. That\u2019s up 14% ($320) from a year earlier.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pending home sales were down 16.6% year over year, on par with declines over the last month.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pending home sales fell in all metros Redfin analyzed. They declined most in Seattle (-31.7% YoY), Milwaukee (-29.5%), San Diego (-28.4%), Portland, OR (-27.7%), and Providence, RI (-26.7%).\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New listings of homes for sale fell 25% year over year, one of the biggest declines since May 2020.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New listings declined in all metros Redfin analyzed. They fell most in Las Vegas (-42.3% YoY), Phoenix (-40.9%), Seattle (-40.4%), Oakland (-39.8%) and San Diego (-37.2%).\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Active listings (the number of homes listed for sale at any point during the period) dropped 4.6% from a year earlier, marking just the second decline in 12 months. The first was a week earlier, when active listings declined 1.7%. Active listings also inched down from a month earlier; typically, they post month-over-month increases at this time of year.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Months of supply\u2014a measure of the balance between supply and demand, calculated by the number of months it would take for the current inventory to sell at the current sales pace\u2014was 2.6 months, up from 2.1 months a year earlier. Four to five <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/definition\/monthsof-supply\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">months of supply<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller\u2019s market conditions.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">33.5% of homes that went under contract had an accepted offer within the first two weeks on the market, down from 38% a year earlier.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Homes that sold were on the market for a median of 28 days, the shortest span since September. That\u2019s up from a record low of 18 days a year earlier.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">35.2% of homes sold above their final list price. That\u2019s the highest share since September but is down from 54% a year earlier.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On average, 5.2% of homes for sale each week had a price drop, up from 3.9% a year earlier.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The average sale-to-list price ratio, which measures how close homes are selling to their final asking prices, was 99.8%. That\u2019s the highest level since August but is down from 102.4% a year earlier.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Refer to our <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/data-center-metrics-definitions\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">metrics definition page<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for explanations of all the metrics used in this report.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-76329 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/median-sale-price-6723.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"954\" height=\"715\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/median-sale-price-6723.png 954w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/median-sale-price-6723-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/median-sale-price-6723-768x576.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 954px) 100vw, 954px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-76330 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/median-asking-price-6723.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"959\" height=\"715\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/median-asking-price-6723.png 959w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/median-asking-price-6723-300x224.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/median-asking-price-6723-768x573.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 959px) 100vw, 959px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-76331 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/housing-payments-6723.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"956\" height=\"713\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/housing-payments-6723.png 956w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/housing-payments-6723-300x224.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/housing-payments-6723-768x573.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 956px) 100vw, 956px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-76332 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/pending-sales-6723.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"952\" height=\"712\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/pending-sales-6723.png 952w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/pending-sales-6723-300x224.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/pending-sales-6723-768x574.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 952px) 100vw, 952px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-76333 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/new-listings-6723.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"958\" height=\"717\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/new-listings-6723.png 958w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/new-listings-6723-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/new-listings-6723-768x575.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 958px) 100vw, 958px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-76334 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/active-listings-6723.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"954\" height=\"713\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/active-listings-6723.png 954w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/active-listings-6723-300x224.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/active-listings-6723-768x574.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 954px) 100vw, 954px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-76335 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/mos-6523.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"956\" height=\"712\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/mos-6523.png 956w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/mos-6523-300x223.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/mos-6523-768x572.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 956px) 100vw, 956px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-76336 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/two-weeks-6523.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"954\" height=\"716\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/two-weeks-6523.png 954w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/two-weeks-6523-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/two-weeks-6523-768x576.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 954px) 100vw, 954px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-76337 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/dom-6723.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"957\" height=\"713\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/dom-6723.png 957w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/dom-6723-300x224.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/dom-6723-768x572.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 957px) 100vw, 957px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-76338 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/sold-above-list-6723.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"952\" height=\"712\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/sold-above-list-6723.png 952w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/sold-above-list-6723-300x224.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/sold-above-list-6723-768x574.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 952px) 100vw, 952px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-76339 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/price-drops-6523.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"958\" height=\"713\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/price-drops-6523.png 958w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/price-drops-6523-300x223.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/price-drops-6523-768x572.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 958px) 100vw, 958px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-76340 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/sale-to-list-6723.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"959\" height=\"714\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/sale-to-list-6723.png 959w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/sale-to-list-6723-300x223.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/sale-to-list-6723-768x572.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 959px) 100vw, 959px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-76341 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/demand-index-6723.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"961\" height=\"715\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/demand-index-6723.png 961w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/demand-index-6723-300x223.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/demand-index-6723-768x571.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 961px) 100vw, 961px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>New listings have hit their lowest level of any early June on record, limiting home sales and keeping prices afloat. But many buyers are still touring homes, indicating that we\u2019ll see pent-up demand when mortgage rates fall and supply improves. New listings of homes for sale fell 25% from a year earlier during the four [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13153,"featured_media":76342,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"default","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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