{"id":76640,"date":"2023-08-10T07:00:40","date_gmt":"2023-08-10T14:00:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/?p=76640"},"modified":"2023-08-31T13:57:30","modified_gmt":"2023-08-31T20:57:30","slug":"september-fed-rate-hike-is-hard-to-imagine-after-another-month-of-good-inflation-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/september-fed-rate-hike-is-hard-to-imagine-after-another-month-of-good-inflation-news\/","title":{"rendered":"September Fed Rate Hike is Hard to Imagine After Another Month of Good Inflation News"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/cpi.htm\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This morning\u2019s report<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> on consumer prices came in exactly in line with expectations: The consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.2% month over month in July for both headline inflation and core inflation. That\u2019s the same increase we saw in June, which I interpret as continued good news on inflation.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Based on the July data so far (released in August), it\u2019s hard to see another rate hike from the Fed in their September meeting. There is another month of data before their meeting, in which\u00a0 we could see some volatility in CPI from goods and medical services, but shelter should continue to fall. But even if we see one month of bad data (i.e. higher inflation rates) in August, one could make the argument that the Fed should pause in September and wait for more data to see if another hike is warranted in November.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For housing, there is still some risk of unexpectedly bad news on inflation, but it feels like we\u2019re at the top of the cycle for rates. And we can expect rates to very slowly come down toward the end of this year into next year.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This morning\u2019s report on consumer prices came in exactly in line with expectations: The consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.2% month over month in July for both headline inflation and core inflation. That\u2019s the same increase we saw in June, which I interpret as continued good news on inflation. Based on the July data so [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13558,"featured_media":76642,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"default","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[632],"tags":[633,623],"dashboard":[],"coauthors":[622],"class_list":["post-76640","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-from-our-economists","tag-inflation","tag-national"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.7 (Yoast SEO v27.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>September Fed Rate Hike is Hard to Imagine After Another Month of Good Inflation News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This morning\u2019s report on consumer prices came in exactly in line with expectations: The consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.2% month over month in July for both headline inflation and core inflation. That\u2019s the same increase we saw in June, which Redfin economists interpret as continued good news on inflation. It&#039;s hard to see another rate hike from the Fed in September.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/september-fed-rate-hike-is-hard-to-imagine-after-another-month-of-good-inflation-news\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"September Fed Rate Hike is Hard to Imagine After Another Month of Good Inflation News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This morning\u2019s report on consumer prices came in exactly in line with expectations: The consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.2% month over month in July for both headline inflation and core inflation. That\u2019s the same increase we saw in June, which Redfin economists interpret as continued good news on inflation. It&#039;s hard to see another rate hike from the Fed in September.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/september-fed-rate-hike-is-hard-to-imagine-after-another-month-of-good-inflation-news\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Redfin Real Estate News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/redfin\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-08-10T14:00:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-08-31T20:57:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/pexels-karolina-grabowska-5900228-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1707\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Chen Zhao\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@redfin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@redfin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Chen Zhao\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.redfin.com/news\\\/september-fed-rate-hike-is-hard-to-imagine-after-another-month-of-good-inflation-news\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.redfin.com/news\\\/september-fed-rate-hike-is-hard-to-imagine-after-another-month-of-good-inflation-news\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Chen Zhao\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.redfin.com/news\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/a0a62ede97b24e6f17c1cffb6ffdd574\"},\"headline\":\"September Fed Rate Hike is Hard to Imagine After Another Month of Good Inflation News\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-08-10T14:00:40+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-08-31T20:57:30+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.redfin.com/news\\\/september-fed-rate-hike-is-hard-to-imagine-after-another-month-of-good-inflation-news\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":208,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.redfin.com/news\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.redfin.com/news\\\/september-fed-rate-hike-is-hard-to-imagine-after-another-month-of-good-inflation-news\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.redfin.com/news\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/08\\\/pexels-karolina-grabowska-5900228-scaled.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"inflation\",\"national\"],\"articleSection\":[\"From Our Economists\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"copyrightYear\":\"2023\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.redfin.com/news\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.redfin.com/news\\\/september-fed-rate-hike-is-hard-to-imagine-after-another-month-of-good-inflation-news\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.redfin.com/news\\\/september-fed-rate-hike-is-hard-to-imagine-after-another-month-of-good-inflation-news\\\/\",\"name\":\"September Fed Rate Hike is Hard to Imagine After Another Month of Good Inflation News\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.redfin.com/news\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.redfin.com/news\\\/september-fed-rate-hike-is-hard-to-imagine-after-another-month-of-good-inflation-news\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.redfin.com/news\\\/september-fed-rate-hike-is-hard-to-imagine-after-another-month-of-good-inflation-news\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.redfin.com/news\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/08\\\/pexels-karolina-grabowska-5900228-scaled.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-08-10T14:00:40+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-08-31T20:57:30+00:00\",\"description\":\"This morning\u2019s report on consumer prices came in exactly in line with expectations: The consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.2% month over month in July for both headline inflation and core inflation. 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