{"id":77201,"date":"2023-12-13T05:00:37","date_gmt":"2023-12-13T13:00:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/?p=77201"},"modified":"2024-10-03T15:55:32","modified_gmt":"2024-10-03T22:55:32","slug":"redfin-rental-report-november-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/redfin-rental-report-november-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"The Tide Turns for Renters as Asking Rents Post Biggest Decline in Over 3 Years"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><i>The median U.S. asking rent fell 2% year over year in November\u2014the biggest decline since 2020\u2014as landlords grappled with rising vacancies due to a building boom in recent years. But rents are still rising in the Midwest, partly because out-of-towners are moving in to get more bang for their buck.\u00a0<\/i><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The median U.S. asking rent declined 2.1% year over year in November to $1,967\u2014the biggest annual drop since February 2020\u2014and fell 0.6% from October.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-77203\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/History-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/History-1.png 800w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/History-1-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/History-1-768x576.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The rental market has lost momentum over the last year and a half in large part because there are more apartments on the market\u2014the result of a building boom in recent years. This jump in supply has left many landlords struggling to fill vacancies, motivating them to drop asking rents in some cases.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cRenters are finally catching a break. Better deals are easier to come by because landlords are doling out concessions and rents have started falling in a meaningful way. Rising supply also means renters have more good options to choose from,\u201d said Redfin Chief Economist <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/author\/darylfairweather\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Daryl Fairweather<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. \u201cWith homeownership <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/housing-affordability-at-record-low-2023\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">so expensive<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, renting has started to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/housing-market-predictions-2024\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">lose its stigma<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Still, we may see more renters jump into the homebuying market next year as home-sale prices and mortgage rates tick down.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Some landlords are offering <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">one-time <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/redfin-rental-report-august-2023\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">discounts<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> like a free month\u2019s rent or reduced parking costs to attract renters. This means the prices renters are paying in total are likely coming down faster than they appear to be in the data.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rents have also cooled due to economic uncertainty and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-01-13\/us-household-formation-late-last-year-seen-slowing-further?sref=fRZXrT1O\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">slowing<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> household formation, along with intensifying affordability challenges driven by inflation and the pandemic surge in rents. Additionally, there are new <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-12-01\/us-economic-slowdown-has-begun-as-consumer-spending-cools?sref=fRZXrT1O\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">signs<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that the economy is slowing; Americans are starting to tighten their belts, which could be contributing to the decline in rents, Fairweather said.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While rents are dropping, they\u2019re still 22.1% higher than they were in November 2019 before the pandemic housing boom and are just 4.2% below the $2,054 record high hit in August 2022.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Apartment Construction Is Still Going Strong, Leading to Rise in Vacancies<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The number of completed apartments in the U.S. rose 7% year over year in the third quarter to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/graph\/?g=1b5p0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.2 million<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, one of the highest levels of the last three decades. The third quarter is the most recent period for which data is available.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The number of apartment buildings on which construction has <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">started<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> also stands at one of the highest levels of the past three decades, but has begun to decline. It fell 26.2% year over year in the third quarter to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/graph\/?g=1b5xS\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.2 million<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-77205\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/final-starts-and-completions-chart-1024x710.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"555\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/final-starts-and-completions-chart-1024x710.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/final-starts-and-completions-chart-300x208.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/final-starts-and-completions-chart-768x532.png 768w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/final-starts-and-completions-chart-1536x1065.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/final-starts-and-completions-chart.png 1731w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Because renters have an increasing number of buildings to choose from, vacancies are climbing. The rental vacancy rate rose to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/RRVRUSQ156N\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6.6%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in the third quarter, the highest level since the first quarter of 2021.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-77206\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/vacancy-rate-1024x709.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"554\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/vacancy-rate-1024x709.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/vacancy-rate-300x208.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/vacancy-rate-768x532.png 768w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/vacancy-rate-1536x1063.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/vacancy-rate.png 1733w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While there are a lot of apartments hitting the market, there aren\u2019t as many single-family homes for rent. Redfin <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/housing-market-predictions-2024\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">predicts<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> prices of large rentals will rise in 2024 because they\u2019re particularly attractive to millennials, many of whom desire homes large enough for their growing families. Remote work has also boosted the appeal of large rentals, which offer more space for home offices. Even though homebuying affordability is expected to improve slightly next year, many Americans will remain priced out of homeownership and have no choice but to continue renting.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rents Jump in the Midwest, Fall in the West<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The median asking rent in the Midwest rose 4.6% year over year to $1,434\u2014the only increase among the four major U.S. regions. Asking rents fell 1.8% year over year to $2,347 in the West, were little changed in the South (-0.4% to $1,635) and were unchanged in the Northeast (0% to $2,447).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-77208\" src=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/History-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/History-2.png 800w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/History-2-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/History-2-768x576.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rents are climbing in the most affordable region and falling fastest in one of the least affordable, which makes sense at a time when housing affordability is so strained. Research <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/housing-migration-trends-q3-2023\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">shows<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that a near-record share of house hunters are leaving their metro when they move, many in search of a more affordable place to live.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cThe rental market in <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/city\/35759\/WI\/Milwaukee\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Milwaukee<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> is really strong,\u201d said local <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/premier\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Redfin Premier<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> real estate agent <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/real-estate-agents\/keshia-tally\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Keshia Tally<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, who is a landlord herself. \u201cEvery time one of my own units goes vacant, I get a ton of applicants. Surging housing costs have pushed homeownership out of reach for a lot of Milwaukeeans, so many are continuing to rent.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Methodology<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Asking price data includes single-family homes, multi-family units, condos\/co-ops and townhouses from <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/rent.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rent.com<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/redfin.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Redfin.com<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Redfin has removed metro-level data from monthly rental reports for the time being as it works to expand its rental analysis.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Prices reflect the current costs of new leases during each time period. In other words, the amount shown as the median rent is not the median of what all renters are paying, but the median asking price of apartments that were available for new renters during the report month.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The median U.S. asking rent fell 2% year over year in November\u2014the biggest decline since 2020\u2014as landlords grappled with rising vacancies due to a building boom in recent years. But rents are still rising in the Midwest, partly because out-of-towners are moving in to get more bang for their buck.\u00a0 The median U.S. asking rent [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13346,"featured_media":77207,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"default","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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