{"id":81938,"date":"2025-08-25T13:41:57","date_gmt":"2025-08-25T20:41:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/?p=81938"},"modified":"2025-08-25T13:41:57","modified_gmt":"2025-08-25T20:41:57","slug":"mortgage-spread-narrows","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/mortgage-spread-narrows\/","title":{"rendered":"The Mortgage Spread Has Dropped to a 3-Year Low. That\u2019s Good News For Homebuyers and Refinancers."},"content":{"rendered":"

The difference between mortgage rates and the 10-year treasury yield has narrowed, signaling a potential boost for homebuyers. A decrease in the mortgage spread can cause mortgage rates to fall, even without the Fed cutting interest rates.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

The gap between 10-year treasury yields and mortgage rates (known as the mortgage spread) has dropped to its lowest level in over three years, allowing <\/span>mortgage rates to fall<\/span><\/a> more than treasury yields. The spread was 2.26 percentage points as of August 22, down from about 2.5 at the start of summer and 2.68 a year earlier.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

That\u2019s good news for house hunters and homeowners looking to refinance because, setting aside Fed policy, it means mortgage lenders are offering lower rates.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The mortgage spread fell to around 1.5 percentage points\u2013lower than usual\u2013in 2021, when mortgage rates were sitting at record lows. It doubled in 2022 and 2023 to levels usually seen during financial turmoil because mortgage rates increased, markets became more uncertain, and lenders were trying to hedge their risks by charging more interest.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Now, the spread is slowly falling but it has more room to fall before returning to more typical levels, around 1.5-2 percentage points. That means there\u2019s more potential for mortgage rates to fall more than treasury yields.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cThink of the spread like a restaurant meal,\u201d said Chen Zhao<\/a>, Redfin\u2019s head of economics research. \u201cThe treasury yield is the cost of raw ingredients, the mortgage rate is the price of the meal on the table, and the spread is the restaurant\u2019s markup, which covers the cost of the chef, rent on the restaurant, profit margin, etc. Regardless of the cost of raw ingredients, if the restaurant has a lower markup, that lowers the customer\u2019s bill. Similarly, regardless of the Fed\u2019s actions, a lower mortgage spread helps lower mortgage rates.\u201d\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Why the Mortgage Spread Dropping Matters For Homebuyers and Homeowners<\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n

A lower mortgage spread equals lower mortgage rates. If the spread continues to decline, mortgage rates could fall more than they already have.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s important to note that if the Fed cuts interest rates as expected in September\u2013or more than expected\u2013mortgage rates may fall more than anticipated because the spread is also falling,\u201d Zhao said.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

It\u2019s also worth noting that we\u2019re in a buyer\u2019s market, with many sellers open to negotiations, including lowering their price, because many homes have been sitting on the market for a long time. Combined with lower rates, now may be a good time to lock in a lower monthly housing payment.<\/span><\/p>\n

A homebuyer on a $3,000 monthly budget <\/span>can afford<\/span><\/a> a $439,000 home with a 6.55% mortgage rate, roughly today\u2019s average. That means that homebuyer has gained roughly $20,000 in purchasing power since May, when rates hit a recent peak of 7.08%.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Redfin agents in some parts of the country have reported that homebuyers started responding to lower mortgage rates over the weekend.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The difference between mortgage rates and the 10-year treasury yield has narrowed, signaling a potential boost for homebuyers. A decrease in the mortgage spread can cause mortgage rates to fall, even without the Fed cutting interest rates.\u00a0 The gap between 10-year treasury yields and mortgage rates (known as the mortgage spread) has dropped to its […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13153,"featured_media":81940,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"default","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[27,8],"tags":[20,623],"coauthors":[124],"class_list":["post-81938","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-affordability","category-housing-market-news","tag-housing-affordability","tag-national"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nThe Mortgage Spread Has Dropped to a 3-Year Low. 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