{"id":83127,"date":"2025-12-02T05:00:22","date_gmt":"2025-12-02T13:00:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/?p=83127"},"modified":"2025-12-02T07:02:31","modified_gmt":"2025-12-02T15:02:31","slug":"housing-market-predictions-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/housing-market-predictions-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Redfin\u2019s 2026 Predictions: Welcome to The Great Housing Reset"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">U.S. homebuyers will start to get some relief in 2026, with affordability improving as income growth outpaces home-price growth. Next year will mark the beginning of a long, slow recovery for the housing market.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Great Housing Reset will take shape in 2026. It won\u2019t be a quick price correction, and it won\u2019t be a recession. Instead, the Great Housing Reset will be a yearslong period of gradual increases in home sales and normalization of prices as affordability gradually improves. It will start next year, with incomes rising faster than home prices for a prolonged period for the first time since the Great Recession era.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It won\u2019t be enough to make homebuying affordable in the short run for Gen Zers and young families, who will be forced to make tradeoffs, from moving in with roommates or their parents to delaying having children. Politicians on both sides of the aisle will respond to the widespread housing affordability crisis, introducing policies to lower costs, from YIMBY measures to expanded manufactured housing. Some of those proposals will chip away at affordability, but they won\u2019t be an instant fix.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>Prediction 1: Mortgage Rates Will Dip to Low-6% Range, One Factor Improving Affordability<\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mortgage rates will continue their slow slide but remain high relative to the pandemic era.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 30-year fixed rate will average 6.3% for the entire year, down from its 2025 average of 6.6%.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"datawrapper-vis-44Z3A\" style=\"min-height: 427px;\"><script type=\"text\/javascript\" defer src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/44Z3A\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\" data-target=\"#datawrapper-vis-44Z3A\"><\/script><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/44Z3A\/full.png\" alt=\"Mortgage Rates Will Continue Gradual Decline in 2026 (Column Chart)\" \/><\/noscript><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A weaker labor market will lead the Fed to cut interest rates in 2026 and bring monetary policy to a more neutral place, which should keep mortgage rates in the low-6% range. But lingering inflation risk and the likelihood that we\u2019ll avoid a recession will keep the Fed from cutting more than the markets have already priced in. That\u2019s why rates may dip below 6% occasionally, but not for any meaningful period. The Fed will change leadership in 2026, but that is also unlikely to bring significantly lower mortgage rates, as long term rates\u2013like mortgage rates\u2013are set by bond markets.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>Prediction 2: Homebuying Affordability Will Improve As Wages Grow Faster Than Prices<\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We expect the median U.S. home-sale price to rise 1% year over year in 2026. Prices will tick up only marginally because still-high mortgage rates and prices, along with a weaker economy, will curb demand.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Homebuying will become more affordable because home prices will grow slower than wages for a sustained period for the first time since the aftermath of the financial crisis. The small price increase combined with mortgage rates dipping lower than they were in 2025 means monthly housing payments will grow slower than wages, too.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"datawrapper-vis-yZwF6\" style=\"min-height: 439px;\"><script type=\"text\/javascript\" defer src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/yZwF6\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\" data-target=\"#datawrapper-vis-yZwF6\"><\/script><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/yZwF6\/full.png\" alt=\"Wages Will Grow Faster Than Home Prices in 2026 (Line chart)\" \/><\/noscript><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Slow demand has historically caused prices to fall.<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We don\u2019t expect that to happen in 2026 because sellers will pull back, too. That\u2019s largely because many would-be home sellers have enough equity to avoid falling behind on their mortgage payments. Mortgage-delinquency rates <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/mortgagetech.ice.com\/publicdocs\/mortgage\/imt-october-2025-mortgage-monitor-report-7tZGfFsYkUxV.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">are low<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, and most homeowners will be able to wait until the housing market further recovers to list their home. In the past, the same economic forces limiting homebuying demand also forced many homeowners into distressed sales, but today\u2019s homeowners tend to have good credit, a lot of equity and low rates, putting less pressure on potential sellers than on buyers.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The improvement in affordability will be significant enough to lure back some house hunters, but homebuying will remain out of reach for a lot of sidelined buyers. Gen Zers and young families will feel the pinch of still-high costs, with many of them opting for nontraditional living situations to afford housing.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>Prediction 3: Home Sales Will Rise 3%<\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We predict that sales of existing homes will end 2026 up 3% from 2025, with sales coming in at an annualized rate of 4.2 million.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"datawrapper-vis-ynh3u\" style=\"min-height: 438px;\"><script type=\"text\/javascript\" defer src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/ynh3u\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\" data-target=\"#datawrapper-vis-ynh3u\"><\/script><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/ynh3u\/full.png\" alt=\"Home Sales Will Inch Up in 2026 (Column Chart)\" \/><\/noscript><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We expect a stronger spring homebuying season in 2026 because mortgage rates were sitting around 6.8% during the spring of 2025, meaningfully higher than the 6.3% rates we\u2019re predicting this year.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sales will increase only slightly because affordability will improve just enough to lure some on-the-fence buyers. Many house hunters will remain priced out and\/or limited by a stalled labor market, including some Americans who have lost their job\u2013or <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/survey-job-security-2025\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">fear losing their job<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2013as <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/economy\/jobs\/white-collar-jobs-ai-324b749c?gaa_at=eafs&amp;gaa_n=AWEtsqcmbBupg2loa_Qy4gcJEuuwpSsZM5kzP48OPKDTCsObz6eQzJNuyfTA3PlficY%3D&amp;gaa_ts=691df7c3&amp;gaa_sig=BFm6WXvW54klVmWV6sUODeIKGNEXGMR-2gj5pbD0hyFU2-P61X0EJkQ_zNjuxYRFugKW2Z9TXlzs_JapIj3NEA%3D%3D\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">AI takes a toll<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> on the white-collar workforce.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>Prediction 4: Rents Will Rise As Demand For Apartments Rises and Supply Falls<\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Demand for apartments will rise as supply falls in 2026, leading to rising rents in many metro areas. Nationwide, we expect rents to rise about 2% to 3% year over year by the end of 2026, roughly the pace of inflation.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Apartment construction has <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/rental-absorption-september-2025\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">slowed<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> from its 2021-2022 surge and is expected to continue slowing, meaning fewer apartments are hitting the market and there\u2019s more competition for each one. At the same time, many Americans are renting instead of buying because down payments and monthly mortgage payments are expensive. However, in some areas like South Florida and Southern California, tightened immigration enforcement is likely to put a lid on rental-demand growth.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>Prediction 5: High Housing Costs Will Reshape Households, With More Roommates and Fewer Babies<\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The improvement in affordability won\u2019t be enough to immediately boost homeownership for young families. Gen Z and millennial homeownership rates <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/homeownership-rate-by-generation-2024\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">flatlined<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> last year, and we expect that trend to continue. Household makeup will shift further away from the nuclear family, with more adult children living with their parents and vice versa. We also expect more friends to pool resources to buy homes together, often with prenup-style agreements. The portion of young adults living with their parents is down from its pandemic peak, but <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/short-reads\/2025\/04\/17\/the-shares-of-young-adults-living-with-parents-vary-widely-across-the-us\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">historically high<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Roughly 6% of Americans who struggled to afford housing as of mid-2025 <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/survey-homebuyers-renters-family-sacrifices\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">moved in with their parents<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, and another 6% moved in with roommates; we expect those shares to increase next year.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We also expect high homebuying costs to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/nation\/2025\/11\/14\/children-expensive-birth-cost-survey\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">make families smaller<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. The fertility rate has been <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/SPDYNTFRTINUSA\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">gradually declining<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for years, and it\u2019s expected to continue falling.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">More families will renovate their homes to comfortably accommodate multiple generations. In a November <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.thumbtack.com\/inside-the-home-of-2026-what-builders-designers-and-home-experts-predict-next-8ed0ef4f21f7\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Thumbtack survey<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> of more than 100 home renovation professionals, multigenerational features, like separate suites for extended family, were the most commonly cited response when asked to predict the most popular design trend of 2026. Picture a garage that\u2019s converted into a second primary suite for adult children moving back in with their parents. Redfin agents in places like Los Angeles and Nashville say more homeowners are planning to tailor their homes to share with extended family.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>Prediction 6: Affordability Crisis Will Unite Policymakers Across Party Lines<\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Voters in the November election\u2013especially young ones\u2013<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/11\/09\/politics\/new-york-election-affordable-housing-mamdani\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">made it clear<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that lowering housing costs is their top priority. Not only are sale prices and mortgage rates high, but the total cost of homeownership is rising due to skyrocketing insurance premiums and the likelihood that <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/06\/10\/business\/energy-environment\/pjm-electrical-grid.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">utility costs<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> will surge due to large scale AI-driven data centers.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">President Trump <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/5-ways-the-trump-administration-could-use-declaring-a-national-housing-emergency-to-help-home-buyers-4543abbe?gaa_at=eafs&amp;gaa_n=AWEtsqeSagw0mzkqATKz55XPleK6uBglsNd3h1xvbGf6Maq4pI7wBlEZJsWPYea0p5k%3D&amp;gaa_ts=691ce69f&amp;gaa_sig=CSIulmiQ7e0sY5_i544dZKEKE7lztEmd_UbTn8HBXBF_XuLBGyu9z93dJSOgHnNXFtOkdCn2013uQooB5YKZHw%3D%3D\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">may declare<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> a national housing emergency to help more Americans afford homes, and other politicians on both sides of the aisle will introduce more policies to help alleviate the housing affordability crisis. The YIMBY (Yes In My Backyard) movement will <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.usmayors.org\/2025\/06\/19\/survey-housing-efforts-affordability-concerns\/?utm_source=chatgpt.com\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">pick up more supporters<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> across party lines, opening the door for initiatives that increase housing supply: A bipartisan congressional caucus has already proposed legislation including the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/yimbyaction.org\/endorsements\/federal-yimby-bills-2025\/?utm_source=chatgpt.com\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Yes in My Backyard Act<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, and the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/scottpeters.house.gov\/2025\/7\/rep-peters-reintroduces-bill-to-help-tackle-america-s-housing-crisis-boost-public-transit-use?utm_source=chatgpt.com\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Build More Housing Near Transit Act<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> is making its way through the government.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Other housing proposals will include <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/10\/28\/business\/new-york-california-housing-nimby\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">zoning changes<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to make it easier to build ADUs and home additions. We also expect more states to tackle the housing crisis plaguing their rural residents; some will mirror New York\u2019s focus on building <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/09\/22\/realestate\/hochul-modular-housing.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">manufactured and modular homes<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in rural parts of the state.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sensible policies may start to chip away at the housing affordability crisis, and quixotic proposals like the 50-year mortgage may capture attention of politicians who want a quick housing fix. But the only thing that will make homes more affordable is time. Housing costs soared much faster than earnings during the pandemic, and while wages will start outpacing home prices next year, we expect it to take about five years for the housing market to return to a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/return-to-normal-housing-2025\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">semblance of normal<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>Prediction 7: More Americans Will Refi and Remodel<\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We expect U.S. mortgage refinance volume to increase more than 30% annually in 2026, ending the year at a total of $670 billion. More Americans will refinance largely because 20% of mortgaged homeowners have a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/rate-lock-q2-2025\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">rate above 6%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, and those who bought recently with an elevated rate are chomping at the bit to bring their monthly payments down.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We also anticipate more homeowners tapping home equity to fund renovations. Strong home-value appreciation over the last several years means many homeowners have sizable equity; the typical mortgaged homeowner had <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rocketcompanies.com\/press-release\/rocket-mortgage-puts-purchasing-power-in-the-hands-of-clients-with-bridge-loans-enabling-homeowners-to-buy-now-sell-later\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$181,000<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in untapped equity as of mid-2025. That allows homeowners to take out a HELOC or do a cash-out refinance to fund remodels. For many people, renovating their current home is more appealing and less costly than moving.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>Prediction 8: NYC Outskirts, Great Lakes Region Will Be Hot \u2026 Zoom Towns Like Nashville and Austin Will Not<\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Areas close to New York City will attract people who need to commute to the office. The Midwest and Great Lakes regions have wide appeal because they\u2019re fairly affordable and provide relatively safe havens against climate-related events like wildfires and floods.\u00a0 Small and mid-sized cities are luring recent graduates with affordable rents and opportunities to build stable careers in <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/business\/business-news\/ai-which-jobs-are-skilled-trades-protected-what-to-know-rcna223249\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">blue-collar fields<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, as AI replaces some entry-level white-collar jobs.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Housing markets most likely to heat up in 2026:<\/span><\/i><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">NYC suburbs, including Long Island, the Hudson Valley, Northern NJ, and Fairfield County, CT<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Syracuse, NY<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cleveland, OH<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">St. Louis, MO<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Minneapolis, MN<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Madison, WI<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On the flip side, homes will languish on the market in coastal Florida, along with Texas, due partly to natural disasters and surging insurance costs and partly to pandemic-era remote workers moving back to where their office is located. People who need to sell may be forced to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/selling-at-a-loss-2025\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">take a loss<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Housing markets most likely to cool down in 2026:<\/span><\/i><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Nashville, TN<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">San Antonio, TX<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Austin, TX<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fort Lauderdale, FL<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">West Palm Beach, FL<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Miami, FL<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><\/h2>\n<h2>Prediction 9: Climate Migration Will Go Hyperlocal<\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As climate-driven events like hurricanes and wildfires become more frequent and intense, climate will become a more popular reason to move. But people won\u2019t necessarily make big moves, like from coastal Florida to the Midwest.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Instead, we expect some people living in especially vulnerable neighborhoods to move to less vulnerable parts of the same metro area. For example, Los Angeles Redfin agents say some people plan to leave places like the hills surrounding Malibu or the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/los-angeles-wildfires-housing-statistics\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pacific Palisades<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (or not <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">return <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">to places like the Palisades and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/home-sales-palisades-altadena-february-2025\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Altadena<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> after the 2025 wildfires) in favor of flat coastal neighborhoods like Santa Monica or Long Beach. That way, they can keep their job and lifestyle but live in a less vulnerable home. Many people are also shying away from building, buying, and hanging onto homes in climate-risky neighborhoods because insurance costs are <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/home-insurance-survey-report-2024\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">sky-high<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This local climate migration could exacerbate inequality. People who can\u2019t afford to leave a vulnerable place like Altadena will be left behind, with a lower local tax base for making climate-resilient investments in the future.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>Prediction 10: NAR Will Let Local MLSs Call the Shots, Sparking Consolidation<\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s time-consuming, confusing and inconsistent for the National Association of Realtors (NAR) to write rules for 500 local multiple listing services (MLSs). NAR will step out of the role of industry rule maker and let local branches create rules about how homes are listed in their markets, something that has already <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.housingwire.com\/articles\/mls-policy-changes\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">started happening<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. NAR, for its part, will focus on advocacy. Putting local MLSs in the driver\u2019s seat will accelerate consolidation with many smaller branches joining bigger networks. This creation of larger, regional MLSs will bring clearer rules, faster innovation, cleaner data, and better experiences for real estate brokers, home sellers and buyers.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>Prediction 11: AI Will Become a Real Estate Matchmaker<\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Generative AI will increasingly help people decide where to move, identifying cities, towns, neighborhoods and homes that fit users\u2019 budgets and lifestyle criteria. Instead of a typical geographic search, homebuyers will search for precisely what they want and have a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/redfin-debuts-conversational-search\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">back-and-forth conversation<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> with search sites, giving feedback to tailor their search results.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These tools will allow house hunters to find homes with niche features. For instance, Redfin agents expect wellness features to become a defining feature of next year\u2019s high-end housing market; generative AI will help luxury house hunters find homes equipped with advanced air-filtration systems, whole-house water purification, and amenities like meditation rooms and cold-plunge pools.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">AI will transform the real estate profession, too, by powering tools that help real estate agents pinpoint the right moment to connect with a customer\u2013and the perfect home to recommend based on the buyer\u2019s preferences.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>U.S. homebuyers will start to get some relief in 2026, with affordability improving as income growth outpaces home-price growth. Next year will mark the beginning of a long, slow recovery for the housing market.\u00a0 The Great Housing Reset will take shape in 2026. It won\u2019t be a quick price correction, and it won\u2019t be a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13558,"featured_media":83149,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,26],"tags":[20,33,623],"dashboard":[],"coauthors":[622,119],"class_list":["post-83127","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-housing-market-news","category-predictions","tag-housing-affordability","tag-housing-market-predictions","tag-national"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.7 (Yoast SEO v27.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Redfin\u2019s 2026 Predictions: Welcome to The Great Housing Reset<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"U.S. homebuyers will start to get some relief in 2026, with affordability improving as income growth outpaces home-price growth. 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