San Francisco Home Prices Flatten As Condo Inventory Jumps - Redfin Real Estate News

San Francisco Home Prices Flatten As Condo Inventory Jumps

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Updated on October 5th, 2020

San Francisco home prices were flat in May from a year earlier, with the median holding at $1.3 million after years of record-breaking growth. Sales in the city fell nearly 9 percent, the fifth-straight month of declines as the market moves toward normalcy.

For the second month, the supply of homes for sale jumped more than 50 percent, reaching its highest level in more than three years, as more homeowners put properties in an effort to catch prices at a peak.The number of homes newly listed for sale rose 6.4 percent in May from a year earlier.

SF Median Sale Price (6)

That means more choice and bargaining power for house hunters, but the supply of properties on the market still hasn’t caught up with demand, especially from buyers who want single-family homes.

SF Home Sales (8)

The supply of condominiums and co-ops in particular has exploded, jumping nearly 70 percent from a year ago to its highest level since September 2012. Condo prices fell 5.6 percent in May from the same time last year, more than five times the drop in single-family sale prices.

“The increase in inventory is at least partly because sellers feel we’re approaching the top of the market and they don’t want to miss out,” Redfin agent Mark Colwell said. New condo construction has added to supply, too, putting pressure on pricing.

“The only significant slowdown is in luxury condominiums, where a fair number of homes have come online,” Colwell said. “It’s not a flood, especially not relative to the jobs being created, and we’re still seeing multiple offers on homes that are priced correctly. Properties owned by sellers with unrealistic price expectations are languishing.”  

Bay Area

Across the greater Bay Area, the median sale price rose 5.6 percent in May to $1.2 million. Sales were flat year over year after declining for three straight months.

Hot Neighborhoods

The city’s divide between condo and single-family markets was put into stark relief last month in Excelsior and South of Market, known as SoMa.

“Excelsior consists almost entirely of single-family homes, which still get multiple offers,” Colwell said. In SoMa, a community of condominiums, “you have a lot of speculators who bought and are now trying to sell.”

In Excelsior, home sale prices jumped 15 percent in May from a year ago. In SoMa, they rose by one-tenth that amount.

Ashbury Heights was the city’s most expensive neighborhood last month, with a typical home fetching $2.2 million. Pacific Heights was close behind at $2.1 million.   

Homes in The Tenderloin, still the city’s most-affordable neighborhood, had a median sale price of $535,000.

See our city page for the most up-to-date data on San Francisco home prices.

Here’s what’s happening in your neighborhood:

Place Median Sale Price Year-Over-Year Homes Sold Year-Over-Year Inventory Year-Over-Year New Listings Median Days on Market Avg Sale-to-List
Ashbury Heights $2,225,000 42.6% 8 -61.9% 3 0.0% 15 14 111.0%
Bayview $726,250 2.3% 24 -42.9% 23 -20.7% 36 17 107.5%
Bernal Heights $1,340,000 5.1% 51 -12.1% 25 66.7% 69 15 117.8%
Castro $1,140,500 18.7% 2 0.0% 1 NA 3 11 99.7%
Civic Center / Van Ness $762,500 -15.2% 32 52.4% 18 200.0% 51 14 105.3%
Colma $800,000 NA 1 NA 1 NA 1 98 106.8%
Crocker Amazon $777,500 -8.3% 8 -42.9% 13 160.0% 14 18 106.3%
Daly City $802,500 16.7% 52 0.0% 65 44.4% 46 23 108.0%
Excelsior $908,500 15.0% 24 -11.1% 12 -20.0% 31 14 114.9%
Financial District $1,337,000 -5.7% 4 -50.0% 7 133.3% 10 49 99.0%
Forest Hill $1,925,000 25.4% 7 -30.0% 3 -50.0% 7 22 105.5%
Haight Ashbury $1,375,000 -7.6% 9 -50.0% 4 -20.0% 17 14 111.3%
Hayes Valley $1,400,000 27.3% 5 -54.5% 8 700.0% 15 21 107.5%
Ingleside $800,000 5.3% 5 -28.6% 9 NA 12 21 111.7%
Inner Richmond $1,825,000 4.3% 26 -7.1% 7 -50.0% 27 14 110.2%
Inner Sunset $1,680,000 24.4% 27 22.7% 13 18.2% 34 16 115.5%
Lower Haight $1,265,000 2.8% 12 -36.8% 5 -50.0% 17 14 115.3%
Merced Heights $815,000 32.0% 17 21.4% 6 0.0% 18 14 114.7%
Miraloma Park $1,290,000 3.2% 24 -45.5% 20 42.9% 49 14 112.3%
Mission $1,215,000 21.5% 51 -42.7% 19 0.0% 47 25 107.0%
Mission Bay $1,305,000 -1.0% 49 28.9% 19 280.0% 57 19 101.8%
Nob Hill $1,305,000 -18.4% 18 -21.7% 16 100.0% 31 21 101.0%
Noe Valley $1,720,000 -2.8% 62 -26.2% 27 17.4% 79 14 110.1%
Outer Mission $865,000 7.3% 5 -58.3% 7 133.3% 17 14 113.2%
Outer Richmond $1,377,500 2.0% 22 4.8% 18 100.0% 35 20 117.0%
Outer Sunset $1,080,000 8.3% 44 15.8% 10 0.0% 43 14 119.3%
Pacific Heights $923,000 8.3% 5 -37.5% 3 -25.0% 8 23 102.8%
Pacific Heights $2,113,000 -19.0% 52 -5.4% 43 104.8% 89 13 106.1%
Parkside $1,176,000 6.9% 30 57.9% 9 -10.0% 27 16 118.7%
Portola $887,500 4.0% 14 -6.7% 12 50.0% 26 18 113.3%
Potrero Hill $1,160,000 -18.3% 45 12.5% 26 62.5% 59 15 108.6%
Rincon Hill $1,120,000 -6.7% 30 -14.3% 42 180.0% 60 14 101.2%
Russian Hill $1,619,774 -1.8% 32 18.5% 22 144.4% 52 13 106.2%
South of Market $987,500 1.5% 78 -22.0% 77 87.8% 135 20 101.9%
South San Francisco $850,000 13.3% 35 16.7% 55 19.6% 41 20 107.7%
Sunnyside $1,210,000 6.6% 23 4.5% 10 0.0% 28 13 118.7%
Sunset District $1,300,000 13.0% 147 8.9% 54 12.5% 174 14 118.8%
Telegraph Hill $990,000 -23.7% 18 -10.0% 7 0.0% 20 13 105.1%
Tenderloin $535,000 -38.9% 5 66.7% 3 0.0% 9 15 102.7%
Twin Peaks $1,650,000 50.0% 5 -58.3% 2 100.0% 5 12 107.4%
Visitacion Valley $790,000 4.4% 8 -60.0% 8 0.0% 15 14 109.9%
Western Addition $1,150,000 16.8% 13 -31.6% 7 40.0% 18 22 106.2%
San Francisco, CA $1,300,000 -0.1% 472 -8.9% 827 51.2% 649 15 110.2%

NOTE: Not all neighborhoods are listed, but totals for San Francisco encompass the entire city.  Data is based on listing information and might not reflect all real estate activity in the market. Neighborhood-specific data is measured over a three-month span that ended May 31. Inventory measures listings active as of May 31.

For more information, contact Redfin journalist services

Phone: 206-588-6863
Email: press@redfin.com

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Lorraine Woellert

Lorraine is enjoying her first real job after a career in journalism. She’s based in Washington, D.C., where she writes about housing and the economy. Before joining Redfin, Lorraine was at Bloomberg News reporting on politics, financial mayhem, housing and the economy. Her dream home is a top-floor loft with a pool, friendly neighbors and a terrace for throwing parties. Everyone's invited. Redfin is a full-service real estate brokerage that uses modern technology to make clients smarter and faster. For more information about working with a Redfin real estate agent to buy or sell a home, visit our "Why Redfin?," page.

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