Miami Sales Plunge As Condos Flood Market; Prices Up With Single-Family Houses Still in Demand - Redfin Real Estate News

Miami Sales Plunge As Condos Flood Market; Prices Up With Single-Family Houses Still in Demand

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Updated on October 5th, 2020

Miami home prices rose 11.6 percent in February from a year earlier, to a median $240,000. Sales plummeted 15.9 percent from a year ago, the biggest drop in at least four years.

Meanwhile, condos are flooding the market as developers put hundreds of newly constructed beachfront units up for sale, leading to a 12 percent jump in new listings.

The influx of luxury condos has driven an increase in the total stockpile of homes on the market. In February, the Miami area had an eight-month supply of homes for sale, the most in at least two years and well above the six months that signals a balance between buyers and sellers.

Feb Median Sale Price (2)

Disruptions in the high-end condo market also have contributed to a slowdown in Miami sales that has dragged on since October. Wealthy investors and foreign buyers, buffeted by stock market volatility and low oil prices since late last year, have been pulling back on real estate purchases.

Miami’s local market for single-family homes is a different story. Activity in that segment is strong as buyers compete for houses and mom-and-pop rehabbers seek to profit by fixing up foreclosures. Redfin agents estimate that single-family houses sell about three times more quickly than luxury condos, and price growth is steady.

Feb Home Sales (2)

“When buyers see a house listed at $500,000 that sold three years ago for $350,000, they wonder, ‘Wow, is it really worth it?’” Redfin agent Aaron Drucker said. “Most times, though, buyers move past the initial sticker shock and end up purchasing because they realize prices are continuing to rise and if they buy now they can lock in a low interest rate.”

Throughout Miami, homes found buyers 11 days faster in February than they did a year prior, but they still spent an average of 52 days on the market.

Feb Inventory (2)

Hot Neighborhoods

Little Haiti remained competitive for buyers, with a median sale price of $194,562, up 64 percent year over year. In North Shore, prices dropped 22 percent to $252,375.

In the Upper Eastside neighborhood, the number of homes for sale nearly doubled over last year. Despite the cascade of new listings, sales dropped 48 percent year over year, indicating that buyers aren’t biting on the new surge in inventory. Wynwood-Edgewater also saw a big bump in new listings.

Little Havana posted one of the area’s lowest median prices at $122,500, down 5 percent from a year ago. South Point posted one of the highest median sale prices at $876,250, up 17 percent.

Neighborhood Median Sale Price Year-Over-Year Homes Sold Year-Over-Year Inventory Year-Over-Year New Listings Median Days on Market Avg Sale-to-List
Andover $210,000 80.6% 2 0.0% NA NA NA 12 101.5%
Aventura $336,000 8.4% 53 -27.4% 358 36.6% 276 66 93.7%
Bay Point $2,175,000 35.9% 6 -33.3% 24 118.2% 14 44 94.9%
Bayshore $934,500 8.3% 18 -35.7% 115 35.3% 89 56 91.9%
Biscayne Point $875,000 34.6% 14 -46.2% 40 17.6% 29 70 93.4%
Brentwood $105,000 -16.0% 3 0.0% 2 0.0% 3 3 104.4%
Brickell $390,000 0.0% 186 -12.3% 1,143 22.9% 781 94 95.2%
Coral Way $350,000 13.6% 154 2.0% 345 -0.3% 306 52 95.8%
Downtown $377,000 -8.0% 116 -2.5% 677 24.0% 450 119 94.0%
Eastern Shores $216,250 35.2% 20 -37.5% 103 8.4% 86 88 93.9%
Flamingo-Lummus $230,000 9.5% 112 25.8% 384 9.1% 305 91 94.3%
Hialeah $190,000 21.0% 97 -18.5% 112 -29.6% 179 34 98.1%
Highland Village $92,878 33.6% 2 100.0% 1 0.0% 3 10 105.0%
Keystone Point $1,050,000 50.2% 16 6.7% 37 42.3% 30 78 97.1%
La Gorce $1,575,000 -9.2% 14 -12.5% 80 60.0% 57 86 91.7%
Lakewood Estates $196,000 88.5% 4 300.0% NA NA NA 19 99.0%
Little Haiti $194,562 63.5% 39 -26.4% 89 -1.1% 98 33 98.6%
Little Havana $122,500 -5.0% 30 -36.2% 84 -9.7% 87 34 94.9%
Miami Lakes $351,500 21.2% 36 -2.7% 75 -24.2% 86 35 96.7%
Miami Shores $161,000 -1.8% 4 -42.9% 11 -26.7% 13 108 93.5%
New Belle Meade $278,000 -41.5% 11 -42.1% 45 73.1% 40 58 95.8%
Normandy Isle $178,000 14.8% 19 -29.6% 69 19.0% 68 52 95.1%
North Shore $252,375 -22.3% 66 -26.7% 261 22.0% 210 69 96.5%
Northeast Coconut Grove $612,000 21.2% 69 -21.6% 174 0.6% 162 61 95.2%
Overtown $167,450 90.3% 8 -11.1% 13 18.2% 18 56 88.4%
South Miami $1,080,000 57.4% 12 -14.3% 33 73.7% 27 152 96.3%
South Point $876,250 16.8% 62 -1.6% 271 60.4% 202 82 93.6%
Southwest Coconut Grove $960,000 39.1% 27 -28.9% 120 42.9% 90 75 93.2%
The Roads $307,000 -26.5% 12 -25.0% 42 -16.0% 51 90 94.5%
Upper Eastside $306,000 -18.9% 43 -47.6% 187 96.8% 159 50 94.6%
Venetian Islands $817,500 22.9% 18 -48.6% 92 46.0% 52 56 93.0%
West Avenue $359,500 9.8% 58 -15.9% 286 33.0% 228 80 94.5%
West Flagler $244,950 10.1% 64 4.9% 103 -20.8% 119 46 94.9%
Wynwood-Edgewater $325,000 -7.1% 77 -31.9% 502 55.9% 387 98 95.2%
Miami, FL $240,000 11.6% 2,020 -15.9% 16,000 4.3% 5,663 52 96.4%

NOTE: Not all neighborhoods are listed, but table totals encompass entire Miami market.

METHODOLOGY: Data is based on listing information and might not reflect all real estate activity in the market. Neighborhood-specific data is measured over a three-month span that ended Feb. 29. Miami data includes the cities of Miami Beach, Miami Gardens, Miami Lakes, Miami Shores, Miami Springs, Fisher Island, West Miami, El Portal, Biscayne Park, North Miami, North Miami Beach, South Miami, Aventura, Bal Harbour, Bay Harbor Islands, Coral Gables, Hialeah, Kendall, Pinecrest, Doral, Key Biscayne, North Bay Village, Palmetto Bay, Sunny Isles Beach, Homestead, Cutler Bay and Sweetwater.

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Email: press@redfin.com

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Keena Bean

Keena spreads the word about Redfin and its agents by writing about a variety of housing market topics and sharing those stories with journalists across the country. Redfin is a full-service real estate brokerage that uses modern technology to make clients smarter and faster. For more information about working with a Redfin real estate agent to buy or sell a home, visit our "Why Redfin?," page.

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